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Common Game 2020-02-04 Board 3
West
AK1054
9
AQ63
A72
North
Q
KQJ1032
87
KJ103
East
987
A74
J954
654
South
J632
865
K102
Q98
D
3
West
North
East
South
P
1
3
P
P
X
P
3
P
P
P

Analysis by Michael Berkowitz

South passes and West opens 1. North now could bid 2, but at these colors and with partner a passed hand, it's better to make life difficult for the opponents with a 3 call. East could have raised 1 to 2, but can't stretch to bid 3 here. South passes (with 3 card support, I suppose you could raise, but if you do, you'll be unhappy if you wind up in 4 doubled or if the opponents bid 4). West balances with double and then East has to decide whether his hand is worth anything more than 3. I don't think so, but partner is vulnerable and forcing to the 3-level without knowing about our fit. South passes and West should probably quit while she's not too far behind. Yes, she has great values, but she's already shown that. As far as she knows, this could be misfitting.

North leads the K against 3 and declarer will have to use the one dummy entry immediately. I think that while in dummy, it makes sense to take a diamond finesse. When that wins, declarer can try one round of trump and sees the Q. Very difficult from there to know what to do next. Declarer could try anything including low spade. She should probably just try to get out of her hand but might do it by playing A and another diamond. the defenders probably end up with two clubs, a diamond a and a spade, but it could get worse if the defense is able to tap declarer.

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