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Couldn't Walk the Dog.. They Closed the door

West
AKQJ7642
10
1042
5
W
N
E
S
1
P
1NT
P
P
P

 

I was prepared to bid spades, any number of times,  if the auction had continued.

One NT failed by many tricks of course.

Given that partner has at least five hearts but could not find an overcall I reasoned that it was unlikely that we had 10 tricks.

However East held the A and the K behind opener's A making 4 cold.

 

I thought I made a reasonable analysis of the risk/reward ratio.

Did I?

 

How would you rate the likelihood that your partner has two cover cards?

If your side three card suit was not diamonds would you be more inclined to bid 4?

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