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How often should you cover?

Assume the position is known to the defense but declarer has no additional information. Declarer needs 4 tricks. Ignore undertricks and overtricks. The combination is 

AK932 opposite T4.

The T is led (I think this is best but please correct me if I am wrong.) My question is, "With what frequency should second to play cover with Qxxx or Jxxx?" I think this is a "mixed strategy question" but I am not sure how to go about computing the correct answer.

Never.
Always.
Other and I will explain.

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