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% Play to Land 6N: 3-3 or a squeeze
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West
84
107654
J1087
106
North
KQ
AJ98
AKQ62
93
East
9762
KQ2
95
QJ54
South
AJ1053
3
43
AK872
W
N
E
S
 
1
P
2
P
3
P
3
P
3
P
4N
P
5
P
6N
?
D

 

This was a Common Game at Nite hand from Friday 3/24/17  Bd.19  (We defended so please no comments on the bidding)

North played 6N and received the K as a lead.... ducked all round

West played whatever card, playing whatever carding you choose, that denies holding the Jack.

East shifts.

If East does not shift to a club, which is best as it removes a future idle card in the North hand

North can cash the A, risk 5-1 spades to overtake the second honor in the North hand to run the spades

North can reach the following position after coming to hand and cashing two of the three diamond tops

[code]           -

                    J

                    Q6

                     9

-                             -

T                             Q

JT                            -

T                               QJ5

                    -

                    -

                    -

                   AK87  [/code]

 

West has been squeezed out of a club guard to retain his diamonds.

Now the last diamond winner destroys East who cannot hold the master heart and three clubs.

 

If East finds a club switch at T2 North will have to make a decision whether to play for diamonds 3-3 or a squeeze

My questions:

Without a club switch do not the squeeze possibilities outweigh the percentage of 3-3 diamonds?

Does a club switch at T2, which forces a decision by declarer to either pitch his two little diamonds on the run of the spades (play for squeeze)

or pitch the J (play for 3-3 diamonds) tip the odds toward hoping the diamonds go 3-3?

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