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The Pros have no idea

The pros have no idea how bridge is played in the trenches. Monday's Instant Matchpoint Game provides an excellent example. Players are scored as if they were playing in some mythical game, with matchpoint scores assigned ahead of time for various results. Of course, it was a pair of top players who determined what these results would have been in this mythical game.

Board 9 illustrates this very well.

West
Q43
KJ1096
J9
J105
North
KJ8
A87
K1082
AK8
East
1052
542
5
Q76432
South
A976
Q3
AQ7643
9
W
N
E
S
1NT
P
3NT
P
P
P
D
3NT North
NS: 0 EW: 0

I was East at the table, and basically a disinterested spectator.

The professional analysis showed that 6D making 7 would score 45%, but that not making the overtrick would score only 14%. There was also a little discussion of 6NT and of a grand slam.

Apparently it never occurred to the pros that we punters might not find any slam. Here are the results from our club (better than average for our county) :

7NT making 7, once

6D making 7, twice

4NT making 7, once

3NT making 7, three times

3NT making 6, five times, including at my table

3NT making 5, twice

5C (South) down 1, once. I have no idea what really happened here, but I suspect the result was mis-entered in the Bridgemate. What ever really happened, N/S would have gotten a zero anyway.

The master point totals for the South players that did not drive to slam ranged from 200 or so up to more than 5000, with the median being over 1000. South at my table has over 2000 master points.

I imagine that this is more representative of club bridge than the predicted scores. Make of this what you will.

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