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Why is this 3NT not a Big Favourite to make?

Discussed this hand with my partner after a club nite last week. We were in 3NT going down -1 but still got an above average score

North
K8
8642
AQ5
A873
South
A642
AQ7
9642
K5

On the face of it this normal 26 point 3NT should have a lot going for it. (1) All suits stopped (2) Four Aces (3) 4432 distributions for both hands rather than 4333 (4) Each Queen is supported by an Ace in the same suit. However, our analysis suggested the chance of 3NT making with these cards was only around 10%

Why do you think 3NT has such a low probability of making with these cards?

I think I know the answer but would like to hear what others believe the reason might be.

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