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Will you play like Rodwell?

Here is a defensive problem faced by Eric Rodwell in a Bermuda Bowl match that I found interesting. I'm not really looking for simple answers like "I'd play X" but rather for reasons why.

West
53
96
AKQ52
AQ84
North
East
South
9
AQ875
J1098
K102
W
N
E
S
P
1NT
3
P
4
P
P
P
D
4 North
NS: 0 EW: 0
6
8
Q
4
0
0
1
A
7
3
9
0
0
2
2

As for Rodwell's 1NT opening - well, this isn't a bidding problem.

The opponents have no special agreements about 3 other than "pre-empt". Partner leads a diamond from his doubleton, you win & cash the second diamond. What are you going to do next and why?

Is it a toss-up or are there any clues that make one line of defense a percentage play over another?

Best regards,

Konrad Ciborowski

Kraków, Poland

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