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All comments by Andrzej Matuszewski
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Bridge is a game where experts opinions play very special role, which I appreciate! But for this special hand there are 2 possibilities.
1. More probable S's hand similar to the one described by Stefan Ralescu below. Yes, W must play low! Majority of non-experts is going to play high giving the top for declarer.
2. Declarer has third (or even second) K. Then in turn professional low club gives declarer's top.
Oct. 19
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Is it obligatory to say 3 at MPs?
Oct. 17
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Is something wrong?
Oct. 17
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In my opinion the analysis should take into account other options…
Oct. 8
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The same kind of reasoning (but easier) you can find here : https://bridgewinners.com/forums/read/intermediate-forum/facing-goulash-deal/
Oct. 7
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May be other leads looked worse for him…
Oct. 5
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This is the point, taking into account statistics. More cards, which are going to be finessed by pd's (playing , say 3) are in hands of E. And in the dummy there will be no jack, ten or even 9.
Sept. 20
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I think that explanation is OK.
Sept. 8
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1. There exists a carding system (basic in Poland, but known outside our country), in which one leads 9 from 109xx. We could ask about the carding.
2. You accept “horror” with clubs. But only half of horror. Assume E ducked first round of clubs but you still have doubts if he really has the ace. Now is a matter of calculations what is more probable:
either W has the ace
or W has the second Q?
Sept. 8
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This looks like a horror, but we must face horrors.
If someone has doubts where is A, there is a method to check it:
Play clubs! And if they duck, play the second time!
Sept. 7
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They do not make 4 for this holding.
Sept. 7
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Voulnerable 4 needs something.
Sept. 7
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From mathematical point of view: pd's 3 led to worse score expectation. Some participants might think this formal way.
Sept. 7
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I've been thinking about… 5. The only possibility to declare is at level 5. So why not?
Sept. 6
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OK, I agree that if someone would bid 3NT then please select 7NT, too.
Sept. 5
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Because he has ace with very small spots. Now the tendency is desperately looking for a safe lead at MPs.
Sept. 4
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At MPs it is quite possible after some systems' bidding. For this specific hand it will be very lucky.
Sept. 4
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Richard, this problem is very far from easy.
Craig's motif is quite deep.
In fact he has 75% Chance to win the contract, which is absolutely comaparble with other lines.
Yes, Craig can assume that if W will not enter ace he does not hold it!!
Sept. 3
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Also in https://bridgewinners.com/article/view/how-many-times-2-07sl9diqgs/ option ZERO seemed to be irreal, but it was at least VERY INTERESTING.
Sept. 2
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No, I mean clubs at once.
Sept. 2
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