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All comments by Andrzej Matuszewski
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My previous experience was not that optimistic as yours Henry. May be in future I'll be more flexible…
Dec. 17, 2012
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3. If Spades are 3-3 or second Queen drops we have 11 tricks and many chances for 12-th.
4.Of course I play the third round of Spades LOW. If Queen appears from Lefty I RUFF.
Dec. 6, 2012
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My line is intuitive for me. Let's start with the analysis.
1. I put C10 in first trick against amateur and CQ against an expert. (explanation - later)
2. If S has 4 Spades I win easily through crossruffing.
Dec. 5, 2012
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You had to put something high in the first trick.
I start with 3 rounds of Spades. If N follows I drop a Club. If N has 2 Spades I start crossruffing. Real problem is when Queen of Spades drops.
Dec. 4, 2012
Andrzej Matuszewski edited this comment Dec. 4, 2012
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Kit Woolsey’s secrets
of success
By Barry Rigal
on the 5-th page of:
http://www.acbl.org/nabc/2012/03/bulletins/db8.pdf
Nov. 30, 2012
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Yuan participated in difficult discussion:
http://bridgewinners.com/article/view/first-lead-attempts/#comments
having deep arguments. Grats!
Nov. 24, 2012
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About 50% of PDFA for first-lead… is already published (read also comments). The rest is given as quiz ;-)
Nov. 24, 2012
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Dear Discutants and other Readers interested in this problem.
I put possible hands of declarer on the 4-th page of article. Please make some comments and/or further analysis (including “deep finesse”).
Nov. 21, 2012
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You are right!. Unfortunately - from this viewpoint, and fortunately - from routine bridge approach:

POLISH PNS NAT assumes openings from 5-card colors.

Consequence of this assumption is very large number of holdings, which qualify to 1C opening. This is why our primitive natural system is often called NAT(C).
Nov. 19, 2012
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Your both S's hands Rainer do not convince me.

1. ? K9x ? xx ? AKJxxxx ? K
a. Natural bidders enters on the second hand with 12+hpc, since they do not use drury.
b. If DQ will not drop (assuming it is not in hands of N), declarer can have serious problems.

2. ? A8x ? xx ? AKJxxxx ? K
This is better. But still he must consider first lead in Spades, which makes communication problems. Also CA first lead will be difficult.
Nov. 18, 2012
Andrzej Matuszewski edited this comment Nov. 18, 2012
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Sort of “magic” coincidence Rainer ;) Look down…
Nov. 18, 2012
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You think Stefan that with the hand you propose S has rationale for 3ba? It is IMHO hand for 2ba. Or for double.
Nov. 18, 2012
Andrzej Matuszewski edited this comment Nov. 18, 2012
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OK 5C ;)
In the other evening 6 would be better ;)
Nov. 15, 2012
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Meanwhile if you REALLY LIKE DIFFICULT QUIZZES look at this:http://bridgewinners.com/article/view/is-it-really-difficult/
Nov. 14, 2012
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6C
Nov. 14, 2012
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Final ranking of leads will be available on this weekend!
Nov. 14, 2012
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With 98% fidelity assume that declarer has SA to increase significantly probability to reach his hand with established Diamonds.
Nov. 14, 2012
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You know that declarer has exactly 2 hearts.
Nov. 13, 2012
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I think that any rational discussion is possible after the evaluation of possible closed hands.
Nov. 12, 2012
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Thanks Stefan!
I will add few pages to this article to explain some non-obvious points. But you have claryfied the basic “surprizes”!
Andrzej
Nov. 4, 2012
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