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All comments by Avon Wilsmore
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Bridge is a game that involves intimate contact…

I've been going to the wrong clubs.
March 16
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Some quotes:

D McR, above:
I cannot believe that Multon had any intention to cheat.

Ben Green, above:
I can only assume that all of those who are shocked/flabberghasted about these events have not met Multon. If you had played him then you wouldn't be.

Gary Cohler, above:
…they both denied there being a hesitation on a hand forgetting there was a monitor who told the director there was a 45 second hesitation. They don’t seem to have a limit!

Gary Cohler, above:
not the first time mouton has done this. I recorded him for speaking french in middle of the hand in a candy match several years ago. The following year in a candy or spin gold match against seymon's team he did same thing and zimmerman after going into long trance finally realized he could just pull trump…

Gavin Wolpert, above:
Just want to add that in Bali for the Bermuda Bowl we approached the directors BEFORE our semi final match to warn them that we believed that Multon coached Zimmerman as dummy…

Adam Kaplan, above:
In the final segment, with directors watching Jolly and I along with several kibitzers, Multon made a comment to Zimmerman in French while he was thinking on defense. Hoping one of the kibitzers might have a better recollection than I do – I just remember that it was abrupt, out-of-place, and clearly related to what Zimmerman was thinking about.

Peg Kaplan, above:
…it was worse than what he described. In one hand in particular, I remember Zimmerman taking forever, with a variety of head movements, etc. That, in combination with other activities from the pair that I don't think I've ever seen a top pair commit…

AW, above:
Curious facts… referring to Nicolas Hammond's book, we see that:

- Zimmermann is amongst the best opening leaders in the world

- Multon is not


Bertrand Russell:
Assign to every belief the degree of certainty the evidence warrants.
March 16
Avon Wilsmore edited this comment March 16
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Well, there were all those years that Zimmermann and Multon had Fantoni-Nunes as teammates… but I guess that's not quite what you were asking.
March 16
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Eric Rodwell, while In The Well:

AW:
Thanks for taking the time to answer people's queries.

Do you have an opinion about the conclusions reached by Bird and Anthias regarding opening leads, from their work with simulations?

——-

ER:
Hi Avon,

Avon calling! So I guess I'll answer. Those books were quite interesting. The problem with using DD (Double Dummy) analysis is, suppose it goes 1NT-3NT and you have
53 Q943 A83 10843,
the S5 is the best double dummy lead.

This is because:

1) Partner, playing DD, never misreads the lead as being from a 4+ card suit. He has A842, dummy J76, and he knows that Declarer has 4 cards in Spades and not 2 and defends correctly.

2) Declarer never misguesses any suit combination DD. So, if the layout is dummy having xxx and Declarer AKQ9, Declarer will, DD, play to the 9. And partner will split with J10xx if it could help DD. So, unless entries are a problem you aren't doing you side any damage, DD, by leading the S5.

Same argument for Ace leads against suits. If you never misguess what to switch to, I'm sure leading an Ace will a lot better than it would in practice.

With these caveats in mind, I do think the books had a lot of useful insights.
March 15
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… listen to the thoughts of others…

Bertrand Russell:
Assign to every belief the degree of certainty the evidence warrants.

Where experts are agreed, the average man would do well not to suppose the opposite opinion is certain



FWIW. my gf (MSc, Microbiology) likes this site:

https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/
March 15
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PhDs say this…. celebrities say that… we must consider both sides of the question.
March 15
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Peg: Category error.

The modern (mostly American) trend for rubbbishing an overwhelming consensus of hard-science PhDs with decades of experience is very, very dangerous.

It's common and beyond foolish:
- climate change
- fluoride in drinking water
- immunization
- etc
March 15
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I gather that Multon's partners have no honour…
March 15
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Here is an article that discusses boycotting:

http://bridgewinners.com/article/view/crunch-time/
March 14
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From Mike Lawrence's Introduction to “Under the Table”:

Jaïs passed 5♠x but not before he went through intense gyrations. He was on my right. He turned to me and stared over my right shoulder. Then he turned and stared over Goldman’s left shoulder. He held both of these poses for over 5 seconds….

…Belladonna gave this a lot of thought. Later when I saw his hand I wasn’t sure what he had been thinking. Then he started that staring routine so popular with Jaïs and Trézel. All of the same mannerisms. Look left. Look right. Look at partner. Ultimately, Belladonna doubled.
March 14
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Curious facts… referring to Nicolas Hammond's book, we see that:

- Zimmermann is amongst the best opening leaders in the world

- Multon is not
March 14
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I wonder who paid Fantoni-Nunes' legal fees…?
March 14
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Compare:
- The Office (UK) and The Office (US)
- Steptoe and Son and Sanford and Son
- Till Death Us Do Part and All in the Family

No one does satirical humour like the English.
March 14
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Indeed, I have trouble conceiving of a different auction (although Big Clubbers may open 1).
March 12
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Tom Hanks has it.

https://www.smh.com.au/culture/movies/tom-hanks-and-wife-rita-wilson-diagnosed-with-coronavirus-in-australia-20200312-p549dj.html

This means that C-19 is real, for nothing is true until a celebrity tells us what to think. Everything else is fake news.
March 11
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Agree. With 2NT NF, 3 is NF.

It can be any rubbish hand with a shortage, and need have no more than five clubs, given that responder will have three or four.
March 11
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Many members will be familiar with Deal 75, Play Bridge With Reese.

Dummy
Axx
Axx

Declarer
KQJ
KJ10

Reese must find the missing queen, playing against unfamiliar opponents. He has an idea… he leads the J and LHO fiddles. So, he has identified a coffee-houser. On that basis, he rises ace, crosses to hand and leads the D!J. No hesitation! So, Reese successfully lets it ride.

Now, I read that when I was 14, and I was sure The Master had made a mistake… for, when Reese rose ace, LHO could see that their gambit had failed, therefore they were some chance to switch tactics when it came to the second jack.

Some years later, I appreciated that Reese was right… those that huddle with nothing are locked into their pattern of behaviour and cannot, will not, and don't want to change.
March 10
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I am not following this.

East would have no difficulty ducking the ace of hearts here.

I agree with that statement.

…if he has a reason for his huddle, playing him for the queen is clearly indicated.

What is meant by, “if he has a reason for his huddle”? Can this “reason” be a bridge reason about this particular trick, given that no rational player will rise queen? Or did he just happen to be thinking about where to have dinner that night?

If it is true that “East would have no difficulty ducking the ace”, why did he suddenly have difficulty without it?

Kaplan wrote about this in an 80s TBW Editorial. He said that it was entirely too convenient that a player with nothing just happened to be thinking about some non-bridge matter at a key point in a hand.


I wrote about Olek Minc here:
https://bridgewinners.com/article/view/tales-from-the-past-part-2-double-bay/

He had other characteristics… as defender, if he did not hold an honour when an honour was led through him or when a card was led to dummy's honour, he would uld fiddle around. He would play low (when that was right) , smooth as silk, with an honour.

That led Tim Seres to discuss the following suit, while waiting for the rubber game to start:
QJ bare opposite dummy's Ax.

Seres said, “If you lead the queen and Olek fiddles, you might as well rise ace. An 8-1 break with a bear king offside is a minute chance, but it's a lot bigger than zero.”


You are entitled to draw any inferences you wish from the mannerisms of your opponent. However, if you get it wrong, too bad. Declarer should get no redress at all.

I agree with the first sentence.

I disagree with the second two, for these statements simply allow the experienced coffee-houser to profit, cost-free.


I recall a conversation I had with an Australian expert during the 1998 Australian National Open Teams:

AE: I'm going to kibitz (Mr X)

AW: When he's defending and has nothing in a suit, I'll bet you he fiddles about when declarer has a choice. I'll give you 5/1, each instance.

AE: You think I'm stupid or something?


Edit: typos
March 10
Avon Wilsmore edited this comment March 11
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The article says, “You play in a European pairs championship”

If the opponents are not beginners, the huddler has the queen. With the ace, they go low in tempo. Always.

That's my experience.
March 10
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