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All comments by Avon Wilsmore
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The original Bernasconi contest allowed world-class players 45 mins a hand and you want to allow an hour for 12 of those hands?

In Australia we say, “Write your own ticket.”
Oct. 20, 2013
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But what class of par contest are we considering?

The at-the-table type of the 50s and 60s? Or the Bernasconi type, where getting one hand right is a major achievement?
Oct. 19, 2013
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The Australians who did a great deal of work on par hands were Mick Sullivan and Bob Williams. The later was Seres' partner at the 1960 Olympiad; Seres was not involved in par hand creation.

More info here:

http://acblstory.wordpress.com/2012/07/30/acbl-bridge-beat-86-world-par-contests/

http://www.bridgeguys.com/Winners/world_par_contests_lenz_trophy.html
Oct. 19, 2013
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Hate to be unduly pedantic, but 5NTXX must be the rarest contract.
Oct. 18, 2013
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2 is serious misdescription. Opposite:
Kxxxxx xxxx Kx x, slam is excellent.

Kaplan-Rubens count rates the dealer's hand at 14.5

http://www.jeff-goldsmith.org/cgi-bin/knr.cgi?hand=a10xx+–+AJ10987+Jxx

Further:
http://learngoodbridge.blogspot.com/2011/03/hand-evaluation-let-me-introduce-you-to.html
Oct. 15, 2013
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Obviously it denies a void.
Oct. 6, 2013
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Mr Lel and I have, independently, spent a lot of time in Asia and were more than confident that the Bali event would be run very well.

Neither he nor I think Nusa Dua is a hell-hole. Bali is neither Islamic nor communist. Irony is not a branch of metal-working.
Oct. 3, 2013
Avon Wilsmore edited this comment Oct. 4, 2013
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I tried one quick hand… interesting concept and a good v0.9. I will do some more hands this w/end.

You are on the right track and I wish you well.
Oct. 3, 2013
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Ross: Looks like the winning way was two rounds of trumps,SK and a spade to hand, CA and a spade up…
Oct. 1, 2013
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Dean: If the 3rd spade is ruffed on the right you have ten tricks.

I agree with Ross; trumps are very likely 3-2. So, 3-3 spades plus half the 4-2s plus W being 2=2 in the majors plus D.AK on the right is a good shot.
Oct. 1, 2013
Avon Wilsmore edited this comment Oct. 1, 2013
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I prefer the other line…
Two rounds of trumps, then A, K and spade towards the Q.
Oct. 1, 2013
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No way would I knowingly install Chinese software that had not passed rigorous independent security checks.

http://www.afr.com/p/national/huawei_spies_for_china_says_ex_cia_QoPS9JWsvg6bMYqmPbtqLK
Oct. 1, 2013
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I was waiting for someone to pull out the old “prejudiced” line. There is nothing “prejudiced” about facts.

“Poorly Made in China” is a horrifying book. If it were some baseless nonsense it would not have been The Economist Book of the Year.

Putting anything on your skin or in your mouth that comes from China is Russian roulette.
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2008_Chinese_milk_scandal#Victims

The difference between China and the USA at any time in the last fifty years is that there has been an effective court system in the US. That does not exist in China. If you have a contract with a Chinese supplier and they don't wish to honor it, you can kiss your stock goodbye.

PMIC details dozens of instances of major US firms getting shafted shortly after paying, and laughed at when they complain of a violation of contract. And zero redress possible.

As for my “predjudice”
- I currently live in a small village in Thailand and am the only Westerner for many miles, and happy that way
- People who accuse me of “prejudice” generally shut up once they get a look at my wife. She's black as.

Oct. 1, 2013
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Yes, all those who demanded that the event be moved from that Islamic communist hell-hole should go sit on a satay stick.
Oct. 1, 2013
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Other blunder is the failure to open 1.

A terrible auction, designed to keep partner in the dark, it would seem.
Oct. 1, 2013
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I have serious reservations about doing business with Chinese companies.

Read “Poorly Made in China” (The Economist book of the year) and I have no doubt that you will do as I did - throw out any and every product made in China in my kitchen and bathroom. Conclusions from the book:

- A “QC” label is ornamental

- ISO certification is meaningless

- The list of contents on a package need have no relation at all with what is inside (google: china melamine)

- Any contract with a Chinese company is unenforceable

- Any Chinese company may be what it appears or it may be a front for the Chinese Govt. (google: huawei security)

- In the event of a dispute do not go to China. Ever. (google: china stern hu)

Doing business with a Chinese company has real risks.
Sept. 30, 2013
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Yes, I did scan it for some seconds to determine its meaning. But the ranking of options from bad to good was the give-away.
Sept. 20, 2013
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In the absence of access to a computer at the table, we can come to a good answer using simple arithmetic.

One 4-4 fit:
We have a fourth-round winner about 2/3rd the time

Two 4-3 fits:
We have one fourth-round winner about 1/3rd + 1/3rd the time (2/3rd)

We have two fourth-round winners about 1/3rd * 1/3rd the time (1/9th)

This last case is the edge in favour of the two 4-3 fits.

Those who want to know more about the pitfalls of simulators should check this article by Richard Pavlicek; in particular the section “Double-Dummy Issues”.

http://www.rpbridge.net/8c01.htm
Sept. 20, 2013
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Surely the first option provided should have been:

“This convention is so bad I am willing to pay Chris money for Chris to use it.”
Sept. 20, 2013
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That's a good, pragmatic line.

The late Tim Seres was a big advocate of such plays… he liked: “Lose the lead early and expose your shape and high cards late”.
Sept. 20, 2013
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