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The goal here is to hold trump losers to 2.
Looks like breaks 2-7.
If I play my side suit now, I'm risking East getting in when I pull trump and give West a trump promotion.
So I have to play immediately.
Ruff the first trick in hand, play low towards the Q.
If West follows with 9 I play low.
Later use SA as an entry to repeat the play.

Make unless West ducks with AK9 or 4-0 or if East has singleton A/K and A.
Feb. 28, 2018
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I don't agree with the 100% line after ducking a , but I want to simplify Paul's line:

Assuming they returned a .

In the end position, when K is onside, declarer will have to finesse. (No squeeze since you cannot unblock now and go back to dummy.
When K is offside, it was being said that declarer can execute a double squeeze against both defenders. (This line is actually flawed because hand will be squeezed first as you cannot unblock SK before playing the squeeze card.

To conclude, there's no squeeze on a return unless breaks 5-2.

Assuming they returned a ,
Still declarer needs to guess K, but now an entry to hand is retained.
So a compound squeeze against both defenders, or simple squeeze will work only if declarer reads the position right.
The method here is to use A and an extra entry and K as the final squeeze card.

Not to mention, if North wins the first and returns a declarer will have an immediate guess.

In my opinion,

Ducking a club only gains when is 3-1, and an entry of K is preserved in the dummy.

The ducking line assumes double dummy in the end position, and to me it is inferior.
Feb. 28, 2018
Barry Ko edited this comment Feb. 28, 2018
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John,
Your line is a simple guard squeeze scenario, North can guard and , and South guards , but since a finesse position against South does not exist, the squeeze will fail.
Feb. 28, 2018
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Ray is right here.
The distribution in is unknown, so it cannot be included in the calculation.

Vacant space is 4:10 now.

However, by restricted choice, the 10 should be divided by 3.

The correct percentage play now is to finesse (4:3.3).
Feb. 25, 2018
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In my opinion, partner is raising to 5.
If they ever compete to 5, partner wants a lead.
Feb. 25, 2018
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It can be somewhere in between.
2MT pick a minor, and if opener bids clubs, you correct to 3 to show weaker diamonds than immediately bidding 3.
You lose out on hands with constructive/ invitational here, provided you are not playing Negative freebids or transfers over 1-(2)-?.
Also note than Opener is less likely to balance with a X when he can't tolerate a 3 response by you.
Dec. 19, 2017
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To me it has to be a cuebid. Most defensive bidding methods are based on opponents' bids being logical.

2 doesn't promise they have a fit. If we don't have a fit in and I don't think I am really free bidding 2 to play.

It's more useful to make use 2 and 3 cues to show two types of forward going hands.

In my opinion it means a good hand, but no clear direction yet.
Dec. 16, 2017
Barry Ko edited this comment Dec. 16, 2017
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I have potentially 4 menace here: 9, T, T and 7.

If any of these menace is positioned to the left of the opponent threatened (i.e. behind its busy card, you can play for a compound squeeze type of position, and make this 100 percent.

If this premise is true. Then the play is simple. Duck a , win any return.
Looks like LHO has length in so I pick 7 as the one card menace, and cash AK now.
Dec. 9, 2017
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If you do, then you wouldnt have made this poll.
Dec. 8, 2017
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It's funny, I know who you are referring to.
Dec. 8, 2017
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I don't know which club was led and what did LHO pitch on K.

I don't know what Landy over 1 is, but I assume X=Majors.

It doesn't seem like RHO was playing Q from Q7. So, The only two relevant holdings here are breaks:
J87 vs QT
and
JT87 vs Q

Seems like LHO had led from either a 4-card or 5-card suit with KJ.
With the second holding,
His hand becomes
KJxxx
JT87
KJxx
He might have led a , or made a “Landy” bid through X.

Also, did he the 8 quick or after some thoughts?
If he did count, and read the declarer with Q, he should know his partner cannot have K(that will give declarer 15hcp). And that playing 8 now is gonna give declarer the 7th trick.

So I would duck.
Dec. 3, 2017
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Congratulations !
July 31, 2017
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I am not sure what 3 shows. It could be a six bagger or a five bagger with more offense. (if partner does have a six bagger with a trick in one of the minors, 3nt has a good chance.)

Anyway, it doesn't seem like this problem will arise at other tables, either a limit raise(which some of you have pointed out), or a 3 after the reopening double would shut out the auction.

And since our 3 have a high chance of success, I am getting a low score now. I just have to double and hope for the best. Alternative bids are very risky 3nt and 4H, but I have no way to find that out now.
July 24, 2017
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I like it to be and .
To me, here, finding the right strain is more important than slam trying (Game before slam), since doubling of 3 is usually wide ranging, and does not necessarily promise 4 cards in both majors.
July 24, 2017
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run all trumps, pitching a S and a C.
SA.
low to D9. If lost to DT.
win the SA return.
DK, CA, DA.
July 12, 2017
Barry Ko edited this comment July 12, 2017
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well done guys!
March 11, 2017
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I can't think of a reason to act; I believe west has already overbid his hand.
March 4, 2017
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lol. I have to agree 2nt is a better bid here.
March 3, 2017
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.
March 3, 2017
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QJTxxxx AQ Qxx x is way too far-fetched.
March 3, 2017
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