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All comments by Bruce Rogoff
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Partner will not be 2-2 in the reds: he'll bid 4 with that.

Yes, partner has taken the weakest route while preferring 's, but let's be real here, we do have a monster. What else would he bid with Qxxxx x Qxxx QJx?? Change my K to the 2 and you'll get a lot of votes for 4.
July 4
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Hey Genghis, I think the question to ask is, will I miss a good slam if partner bids 4, balanced minimum. I think the answer to that is NO, hence 2NT. It's not as tho this suit is worth emphasizing as a source of tricks or alternative strain (yes, AKQxx Kxxx xxx x is possible, but good luck sorting that out after partner's splinter over 2).
July 3
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Too much we need to find out, and we can't do it all. I think best to clarify a slam try in s, then use exclusion. If partner has both top s I'll gamble 7, as we may need to play s when he has more than one .

The problem with 2NT (asking shape) is, how do we tell partner we have a slam try? Bid 4? He still won't know what suit is trump.
July 3
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Nice suit!! You wanna be in s only if partner bids them voluntarily, so seems to me that the false preference to 3 is the right move.

You're probably in very select company though. I suspect few people have gone down 6 in an uncontested auction to a suit slam! :-) I myself played 7 2 years ago with Axx opposite stiff K, but could only manage to go down 5.
July 3
Bruce Rogoff edited this comment July 3
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Given the current trend of overbidding a bit with the correct shape, 5 seems enough for now. Notice that West didn't bump at favorable, so partner rates to have a or two. If he has x AKxxx AKxxx Ax it will be tough for him to kick the extra point, but he can certainly have less.
July 3
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The BBO explanation seems absurd: we're in a GF auction, so what does 11 HCP have to do with anything?
July 2
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Mostly agree with Ben here, raising to 4 with Craig's sample hand is a bit much: I think most people would pass.

This hand feels like a 3.2 bid, so not close to 4 for me. However, I think it's a clear raise to game once pard invites. I'd expect Craig's hand with the Q.
July 1
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John, the first two bids are pretty automatic. Can we skip to the real decision(s)?
July 1
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I think 3 is the percentage play at these colors. We rate to take 6-7 tricks on defense for a small plus. Meanwhile I believe we're favorites to make 3M, with 4 a very live possibility.

3 at these colors is a big bid, and partner will know I have a good hand. But, I didn't bid 3 the previous round, so s/he should also infer that I don't have six s. Is Qxxx 10xx Jxxxxx – too much to hope for? We should make 3 opposite that, and a 4th makes game pretty good. I'd also expect partner to correct to s with 6 of them (or even 5 good ones) and shorter s.

Pass is a close 2nd choice for me, but i'm surprised it's currently the landslide winner here.
June 30
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Notrump is where the money is, and if that's our destination this hand should declare to protect these major suit holdings. Also preempts the opps a bit if it's their hand for a major suit partscore.
June 25
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Hard to imagine 2 strong teams bidding like this, lol! Would be curious to see the full layout down the road Avon.
June 25
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If West has a big hand, 3 makes it expensive for him to bid them. If partner has a fit I can probably play s comfortably anyway, and 4 is our most likely game.
June 24
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Afraid partner might pass my “intended as forcing” 3: he rates to be at the low end of his range. I'm willing to miss 3NT and bid s next.
June 23
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Might risk a double if playing ELC, though still dangerous.
June 23
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Given the current propensity for lighter initial actions, and doubler raising with 4 trumps and solid values, 1 seems okay to me with this 4x3. We're very unlikely to miss game.

As for venturing higher, I would expect partner to cue bid first when slam is on. Wouldn't we all shoot out a game with QJxxx AK10x AK Qx? 5 is no lock, and we might do so with a bit less.
June 23
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Guess I'm in the minority, but I'd expect a bit more for a vulnerable 4 opening. Gimme that J Ed referred to above!
June 22
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Pass strikes me as an admission that you can be stolen from. Gotta get in there against these light openings!

If you're gonna bid, you might as well let partner know what you have. Bidding 2 can lead to a very bad result when you belong in s, but you also want to tell partner about your 5th . Better to overbid a bit to get to the right strain IMO.
June 22
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I fear 2X will be a bloodbath with these lousy spots. RHO is probably 5-5. 3 may well be less expensive, or perhaps partner, “knowing” I'm not 5-5 (since I didn't use Michaels), can pull to 3 with a 6-card suit.

Fully prepared for the inquest should this be a mistake. BTW I think 2 is clear.
June 22
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2 is plenty here, as one of my kings is probably wasted.

Switch the minors and I'd xyz. Steve's hand above as well.
I'd pass with Jxxx KJxxx Jxx x.

What sort of extra credit do I get? Do you wanna Venmo me?
June 20
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I can see no downside to bidding 3, unless South was about to lead one (which is probably about 1%). I once heard of a guy overcalling 1NT with something like Kx Kx A9xx AQ10xx. They tell me slams still count at matchpoints, and -100 in 3N won't feel very good.

Bottom line, tell partner what you have, while expressing some doubt about notrump. S/he will know what to do with KJ108
June 19
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