Join Bridge Winners
All comments by Chris Gibson
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double of 2N is take-out. Bids are bids. This is not a psych unless 2N promises values - in versions of ogust I'm aware of it does not promise values, but instead asks about opener's hand with no promises. In my experience, really good players eat this very common psych alive by using the extra space it gives effectively - now you can overcall the entire 3 level, thanks! It works against people who have never seen it before, maybe. If a pair promised to use 2N for this kind of raise always, I would never try to stop them, as long as I was slated to be their opponent.
April 18
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If you make enough assumptions, you can calculate mathematical likelihoods, but since those assumptions are made based on non-mathematical criteria (would RHO/LHO have bid), and because you have not given enough information to actually make good assumptions, I think it will be hard to actually quantify odds in a meaningful manner for you.
April 18
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2-2 breaks are 41%, half of those will be K doubleton onsides, so you play for no losers 20.5% of the time by finessing.

3-1 breaks are 50%, king will be singleton 1/4 of the time, so 12.5% no losers by playing the ace.

4-0 breaks are 10%. Playing ace and one wins for half of those vs finessing, so add another 5% for that line.

Looks like finessing the K is percentage for most tricks by 3%

All of those calculations were using rpbridge.net's suit break calculator, http://rpbridge.net/cgi-bin/xsb2.pl, and then applying common sense.
April 17
Chris Gibson edited this comment April 17
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sure. I could have two spade tricks, and I don't. But I still feel like I have less diamonds than I could, all my values in spades, and no extra distribution. This feels like a potential disaster if partner bids on, and I should tell partner that my hand is about defending spades.
April 17
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I believe 4 to have set up a forcing pass situation. I have as strong a hand for defense as I could, in context.
April 17
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I am an occasional NABC player. Any dramatic increase (and frankly, I'm skilled enough to expect to make day 2 almost always and day 3 sometimes, so I expect to quickly be on the price elevator) will make it so I will not be able to justify playing at all. I'm already taking vacation, spending money, and sticking my wife with the kids for a week+.
April 16
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I interpret it according to our agreements. Presumably partner doesn't bid this way without some sort of expectation that you field it.

With no agreement, I would guess scrambling would be close to standard in my area for expert level players, but I would not be surprised to see that change based on the geography of the person answering the question.
April 11
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Sathya - just so you are aware, this comment is regarding the 14 card South hand, which presumably has one too many clubs for the 3-3 comment to make sense? Following the play, I presume it's the 7 of clubs which is not supposed to be there.
April 11
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I guarantee clubs won't break 3-3.
April 11
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My understanding is that the Portland Bridge Club in Portland, Oregon, run by David Browers and David Castles is profitable, primarily because of the lesson program they run.
April 11
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ok, I mean a chance of determining whether slam is worth bidding. This example hand depends on partner having fitting honors for your five card suit. Can partner know that you have a 5 card suit headed by the ace? Or can you show him that you have both necessary fitting honors without getting too high on hands which would bid identically but need different things for slam?
April 11
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We might be able to make slam on that hand, might not. 4-1 diamonds wouldn't be a shock on the auction. But we certainly can't diagnose your perfecto at this point with standard methods, so what's the point? Making a slam try is only useful if we have a chance of successfully diagnosing slam.
April 10
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Lets get a little bit real. Partner bid a non-forcing 3. We have one trick, a fit, and a piece, where we might have had neither, but we don't have a slam try.
April 10
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I would play this a close to a reverse - rearrange the honors to my long suits with the same shape, and I'm there. But I reverse lighter than most, and on this hand its a clear 2.
April 10
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Hi Amy - thank you for writing. One of the things I've been working on lately is superaccepts over 2N - I like to cue-bid to super accept, preferably a source of tricks, but in this case your AKQ of diamonds would have been my choice. This would leave room for partner to make a forward-going bid, or to evaluate their hand better. Here, if partner played last train, she might have offered a 4 counter-try, or if not, may have ventured 5, afterwards you would have been off to the races. I'm not saying that's what would have happened - just a possibility.
April 9
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Frankly, every time I pass with this type of hand, it seems that partner immediately preempts in spades.
April 6
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They used to allow to opt to electronic delivery only. I don't see that option in the MyAcbl portal anymore, and I have noticed that I have started receiving Bulletins in the mail again.
April 5
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I don't think pass is forcing. I think that partner can decide among bidding, passing, and doubling. The problems with bidding 5 is that my suits are poor, half of my hand is an ace in my short suit, and partner could just have 5 nailed since his hand is so ill-defined. This can easily be 1100 away since partner just took a preference, over a potentially non-making 5.

If I was in the pass-out seat, I think 5 would appeal to me. In the direct seat, I don't think its worth bidding again having already shown 5-6+ in the majors.
April 4
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we've described 11 of our 13 cards, nothing in this hand should be a surprise. I think it best to let partner decide.
April 4
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I'm pitching a spade on the 4th round, and my 5th round pitch depends on what they have pitched to that point.
April 3
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