Join Bridge Winners
All comments by Craig Biddle
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Yes, pass allows partner to play the number here. I would have bid 4 over 3NT with this, for what it's worth.

And I fail to see why burying spades when partner has a “negative” response is the end of the world with this hand.
7 hours ago
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You have their system notes?
7 hours ago
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Yes, because if I only have 3 I will have a strong club suit. So he will be able to use clubs as surrogate trumps.
7 hours ago
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Yes but partner promised 4 cards in one minor or the other. Just because they have bid one minor, doesn't mean you know he has the other unless you have both minors.
7 hours ago
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Oh, I thought you were in on the fact that this is a continuing discussion of Jxxx Jxxx void AQxxx after this auction start. That hand has no business at all in deciding at this point that partner has clubs.

In any case, when partner preempts, and the opponents get into the auction, it takes a very special hand to want to introduce a new suit at the 4-level. AQ10xxx would be insane, IMO, without at least 3 spades.

And I extrapolated it to the idea that, if you have enough clubs to bid them at the 4-level, you shouldn't also have enough diamonds to know that partner's 2nd suit is clubs.
8 hours ago
Craig Biddle edited this comment 8 hours ago
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Exactly, Paul. Just like an opening preempt, you should not introduce another suit (at least, before they have doubled for penalties) unless you think that you can make game there if partner has Qx or better.

And when they have overcalled at the 3-level vulnerable, you are really unlikely to have a hand that fits that description. So the best use for a new suit (4 here) is to send the message that, “I have some sort of fit for you, and a suit that will provide tricks. Save if that suits you.”

And as Michael Czerwonko says below, the best use of your double of 3 is, “We can beat this if diamonds is your 2nd suit.” Here, you have so little defense that double would be laughable.

And the best use of 4 over their 3 is, “You are making 4, feel free to double them or bid on if they bid over that.”

I might bid 4 here with AKQxxx and Jxx, but most often I will have 4.
8 hours ago
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I have 5 and no diamonds. RHO has 5+ and an unknown number of clubs. From this I can conclude that partner “must” have clubs?
10 hours ago
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Did you check for other contracts? How often could they make 4? (Not everybody your way is going to save, particularly if they can't open 2 with partner's hand.) How often could they make 5? How often could they make a slam?

“If you let west bid 5♦ with a smattering of points, shortness in spades, and 3 diamonds, the gap narrows…” Oh, really? I LET them bid 5? How about “wild horses won't stop them from bidding 5 with that hand.” In fact, RHO may have a pretty clear 6 bid opposite that hand, but he is not sure enough to risk +600 when some pairs his way may be getting +300 or +500 only.

And disallowing raises on 3 (or even xxx AQxxx Qx Kxx) in your sim seems like cherry-picking. You have biased the study in favor of what you want to be true.
11 hours ago
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When we open with a preempt, the need to cooperatively decide whether to save takes precedence over constructive auctions when the opponents compete.
12 hours ago
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Yes, the 4th round of before cashing the winner puts W's 109 into a sort of smother position if South ruffs the middle. If W overruffs with the K, declarer loses only the A thereafter. If W overruffs low, dummy wins the Q and South can escape with losing only 1 and the A. and if West pitches, declarer just leads a spade up and then passes the Q to take AK K and 5.
13 hours ago
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Why would South, with 109 AJxxxx etc., bid 2 over 2? Yes, North rates to be short in hearts, but it's not a foregone conclusion.
13 hours ago
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Yes I abstained because I think bidding again here is just plain bad matchpoint bridge. I can see bidding again at IMPs, but really, 5 is quite possibly their worst spot above 4, and I have no information that I can find to help me know what to do.

I am with those who think I should have bid 4, not 4. I think this 4 bid would have empowered partner to bid on, but I didn't make it and so I have effectively barred myself.
13 hours ago
Craig Biddle edited this comment 13 hours ago
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Surely, if 4NT was not a key card ask, the poster would have specified the further methods here.
16 hours ago
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And if I do bid 5NT and we settle in 6 of a red suit, the opponents might take a “safety save” hoping for -800 instead of -1370/-1430 against their partners' vul game.
16 hours ago
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Double game swings are a whole lot less painful at matchpoints (as specified in the post) than at IMPs. Bidding on is surely right at IMPs since 4 would require partner to have a peculiar hand for 5X to be a disaster.
17 hours ago
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You want to play guessing-game methods, you get to guess. Ian's suggestion that X shows shortage here isn't all that relevant. Nor is the identity of partner's minor.

Saving is right if partner's hand is KQ10xx x 10xxx J10x. (You might even make.) Defending is right if partner's hand is Axxxx Axx x xxxx. You can't tell. Instead, you should be asking these questions. How good are partner's spade and club intermediates? Does partner have a heart trick? Unless the answers to these questions are specifically “good” and “no” it's best to pass here.

Since you can't rationally get answers to these questions, you just get to pass and see how good the opponents are at guessing. If they've guessed to bid to their best spot, God bless them. You'll get 25-40% on the board, depending on how good your save is and how many pairs find it. If they've guessed to bid to a hopeless spot, pass gets an 85%+ score and bidding gets very little.

Their best spot may be any of defending 4X or playing one of 3NT, 4, 5, 5, 6, or 6. Passing has a lot of ways to gain, and saving requires a parlay of good black suit intermediates and minimal defense from partner to be right.
17 hours ago
Craig Biddle edited this comment 17 hours ago
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The reason to bid 1 with 4-4 in the blacks and a GF hand is that opener will rebid 2 a very high percentage of the time when he has long clubs and can't raise spades.
18 hours ago
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USA 2 in the BB apparently suffered mightily from the last-minute replacement of Grue with Lall.
22 hours ago
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Agreed. 4 of 4 quals is quite impressive.
22 hours ago
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I think that risking making an unmakeable plus score because of a penalty card makes this play rather rash. But I like your style.
Sept. 21
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