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All comments by Daniel Jackson
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Declarer has an interesting choice of lines of play. Of course he has to win the A.

Then:
1) Take immediate spade finesse, claim if it wins. This risks going down a lot.
2) Cash AK, spade to K, run diamonds, club finesse if the Q hasn't appeared.
3) Cash AK, spade to K, run diamonds, club to A if the Q hasn't appeared.
4) Spade to K, run diamonds, J to Q, claim if it wins.

I think I like line 3 the best. If a finesse wins, so what, but if a squeeze works, oh my!
July 28, 2017
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First overall in the 10K pairs paid 80 points with 10% platinum. I like your suggestion for the point awards for the robot game, it seems like a good compromise.

I do want to see some kind of stratification in this event in the future as B players have zero chance in this game.
July 27, 2017
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A top award of say 80 platinum points plus having overalls for B and C strata (with gold points) might encourage more participation.
July 27, 2017
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Thanks for posting. There were some nice insights. People should be able to study what you did right and wrong and improve their results.
July 27, 2017
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Wow, great news!
July 26, 2017
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I see the final number of entries as 2768. I got top 10 but was lucky. Today, not so much.

It looks like the number of people who actually played on the first day was 2611.
July 24, 2017
Daniel Jackson edited this comment July 24, 2017
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There is no shuttle bus?
July 18, 2017
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If partner led the T vertically….
July 17, 2017
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What did the director change the result to? +130 NS?
July 14, 2017
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I got an email, but here is a link to the BBO forum:
http://www.bridgebase.com/forums/topic/76801-acbl-nabc-online-individual/#entry925009
July 13, 2017
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It looks like they have increased the number of section placings.

“The award payout for the NABC Online Individual has been significantly increased. Possibly due to the large number of players who have indicated their support of the event by registering, ACBL has just confirmed an increase in the total number of awards, to 67 places for each daily session and 187 places for the overalls.”
July 13, 2017
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Another (simpler) line:

Three trumps and spade to the 9. If that loses, play K and diamond to J.

You'll make if the double spade finesse wins or if the diamond finesse wins.
July 12, 2017
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The line would be ruff, A, ruff (king doesn't fall), A, then Q discarding spade if not covered? This might be an improvement.
July 12, 2017
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As I write this, roughly noon on 7/12, there were close to a thousand people signed up to play. I'm still liking the 3250 number that Richard Willey proposed for the number of entrants. With 3250 participants at an average price of $42 (the answer, right?), that's a cool $136K of gross revenue.
July 12, 2017
Daniel Jackson edited this comment July 13, 2017
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I would ruff trick 1 and immediately play AQ without playing any trumps. I expect West to cover. I ruff the K and play A. Hopefully all follow. Now I can play the J, discarding a spade, and all follow, ruff a diamond setting up the long diamond, and crossruff spades and clubs. I have just enough trumps to do this.

Odds are not especially good as hearts split 2-1 78% of the time, plus you need K on your left and 4-3 diamonds.
July 12, 2017
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I have to admit I would not play this as well. I would discard at trick 1, win the spade return, ruff the 7 immediately, AK, K, and trumps. So long as trumps are 3-2, I'll make on tripleton Q, or either a squeeze or club finesse. This is probably not as good as other lines mentioned above but at least I won't get immediately set if West is 2=3 in the majors.
July 9, 2017
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I don't recall who I was playing with now, but I believe 1-2 directly would be natural and invitational.
July 6, 2017
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Doug's method frees up 1M-3 to be a 3 card limit raise and you can have 1NT non-forcing.
July 6, 2017
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For 7N by N:

If spades are 5-0 (4%) you need hearts to come in and either a diamond lead away from the king, a club lead, or the club finesse. I don't think there is a squeeze since the spades are blocked.

If spades are not 5-0 (96%) you need either hearts to come in, or a diamond lead away from the king, or a club lead, or a club finesse.

Hearts will come in on all 3-3 splits (36%), 4-2 with short hearts (1/3 of 48%=16%), or 5-1 with short hearts (1/6 of 15%=2.5%), or a total of 54.5%.

I think Esko is spot on with the 75% estimate.
July 6, 2017
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Maybe someone with math skills can analyze. Scores for each session will most likely follow a normal distribution. No idea what the standard deviation would be. If it's about 10%, then only about 4.5% of scores will be 70% or higher. Getting four of those in a row will be very unlikely.

But a 65% game is 1.5 standard deviations and happens about 1 time in 7. Four in a row will happen .04% of the time, times 3250 players means about 1.3 people will get 65% for all four sessions.

So my answer is 65%.
July 6, 2017
Daniel Jackson edited this comment July 6, 2017
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