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All comments by Larry Sealy
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Too likely to miss a slam in OR when you open 2N or 2-2N, IMO. Way too strong for 2N in any event.
Sept. 12, 2013
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yes and yes (unless I'm too strong). If it's a probe for 3N, I certainly can't make that bid. He should know my shape within 1 card.
Sept. 11, 2013
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Same here, and a raise to 3 I normally play shows 4, so 2 is typically 4441 (specifically stiff club) or 2443 (w/o spade stopper). It's possible it could be 3442 with something like xxx, AKJx, KQxx, xx. 2 is similar, but without the 4441 hands.
Sept. 10, 2013
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I'm not sure how you will figure out to play 4 by bidding 3. 3 by partner would not normally be natural, 5 cd suit. It might show a concentration of values in spades, probably worried about hearts. If you raise this to 4, will partner know to pass?

BTW, what does a raise to 4 mean in your system?
Sept. 8, 2013
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That's what I would have done.
Sept. 5, 2013
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Touche', John. But I'm not in favor of the way our district does the handicapping (twice the ACBL standard).
Sept. 3, 2013
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Although many play it forcing, I play 2N is N/F and more NT oriented than 3. I would have both majors stopped. 3N = slam negative 18-19. You can play other ways, as long as you are on the same lambda (wavelength for the non-physicists among us).

{couldn't figure out how to insert the Greek symbol)
Sept. 2, 2013
Larry Sealy edited this comment Sept. 2, 2013
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Agreed, Aviv.
Sept. 2, 2013
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In District 10, the top bracket is handicapped some of the time. I would suggest you didn't put 1M, if you ever play here. 4-5 years ago, I played the finals of a KO and we had to spot a decent team 28 IMPs. I didn't have that many points, but we still averaged about 25K. BTW, we lost.
Sept. 2, 2013
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I would bid 4H with your example hand.

Of course, you can have a meta-agreement that you don't (naturally) introduce new suits at the 4 level, but I think that's too restrictive. With 6+ good diamonds and 4 (relatively) bad clubs, I want to bid “where I live” (I'm not fond of that saying, but….).

I think I'm talking myself into thinking 4 may be the only makeable game.
Aug. 31, 2013
Larry Sealy edited this comment Aug. 31, 2013
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xx(x), (x), AKQxxx,Q10xx looks like a 3 bid to me. We haven't agreed on a strain, so why would we bid 4 on 3 with AKJ10xxx of ?
Aug. 31, 2013
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Why would partner bid 4 with 7-3?
Aug. 31, 2013
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Cool hand played by Van Prooijen. If North overruffs with the A and returns a , he will be subjected to a smother play.
Aug. 26, 2013
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4N should be “that's all folks.”
Aug. 20, 2013
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4 should be offer to play. I should have bid 3N over 3X. At this point, just a guess.
Aug. 20, 2013
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So, flying with A avoids the winkle, but the run of the s just ends up squeezing RHO. I think you have to play RHO to have to 4 s, from the lead, so he has 3s. Did Bakshi get the winkle?
Aug. 20, 2013
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Given the break, the KQ with RHO has gone from 24% to 28.9% . The Spade Q10 with LHO has gone from 24% to 18.9% . So, finding any two specific cards with RHO is 9% more likely. Add in the fact that the 9 may lose to the 10, and you are having to guess for trick 8, so I'm not sure leading spades first can ever be right.
Aug. 20, 2013
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I would think 4 is s stronger (HCP/defense-wise) hand. I'd expect to make it, but it may mislead partner.
Aug. 20, 2013
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I would have bid 3 which (I play) is extras. I'd go quietly then over 3N. If partner bid 3, I'd think that, while it could be natural, this was likely a 3N grope and I'd bid that.

If 3 is any random hand with 4 and not 6, this is one of the problem hands. I'd probably not go looking for a miracle, trying to find a fit at the 4 level, and still go quietly over 3N. However, since I've got well more than I've shown, I'd raise 3 to 4 and let it go if partner bids 4 or 4N.
Aug. 19, 2013
Larry Sealy edited this comment Aug. 19, 2013
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leaving all my comments as i continue to think this thru and type extemporaneously. Maybe I need to win the 2nd (9, low, 8). Then, to K and run hearts. I may end up with a winkle. RHO down to Q, Qx, K. I have xx,x 10, x. I play last heart and Dummy reduces to J9, AJ.

Flying with the A won't help. The x is a threat.
Aug. 19, 2013
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