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All comments by Michael Askgaard
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Very tempting to cross to dummy with a third trump (not with a heart) and float J, planning to double finesse if covered. While this in theory is a bit inferior to banging down AK, east might not cover from Qxx fearing we have AKTxxx (or even ATxxxx).
May 8
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Result stands.
The criterion is “demonstrably suggested”, not “speculatively suggested”.
April 19
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I have lots of experience with this against any level of opposition. I would say having to pass is a minus, but not a big minus and not something to worry too much about. Missing 4 of that major is very rare. Much worse is being left in 1M with a strong fit elsewhere. But good things also happen.

I would strongly suggest using the transfer responses from 2. So 2 is weak or any inv without 3M/5/4. 1-2 is 5+ inv or less. 1-2 and 1-2 are 10-13 3card support.

My advice for responder's bidding is primarily not to panic. Live with the pass and dont make ridicoulous invites or NF bids in new suits just to keep the bidding alive.
April 9
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Not K. Club to T and run diamonds. Then we don't have to guess.
March 5
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It should be possible to constructs layouts at for example BAM, where contract A on average is better than contract B, B is better than C, and C is better than A.

Suppose there are always 12 tricks in and NT. If are 3-2, 7 makes, and if some side suit is also 3-2, then 7NT makes.

If table 1 plays 6, then table 2 should bid 7. If table 1 plays 7, then table 2 should bid 7NT. If table 1 plays 7NT, then table 2 should bid 6 (because 7NT is less than 50%, I think.).
Jan. 14
Michael Askgaard edited this comment Jan. 14
ATB
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South should not have passed 3NT. He has a big band in context for clubs, and north might have had a more club oriented hand than his actual holding, where slam is only marginally good.
Jan. 8
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I think an adjusted score is in order. The problem for EW is that they would very likely have gone down anyway. To make it, declarer needs to guess clubs without testing diamonds. More inspired things have happened before, though.

25% 980, 75% -50, for both sides seems about fair. If declarer has good clues from the bidding, we don't know about, it could make a significant difference.
Oct. 22, 2018
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David, your position in this subthread may lead to your unfairly favouring those players, who are good at lawyering their own case, often by ridicously overstating how many decisions they would obviously have got right if just blablabla …

I don't agree with that. A player who choose to be passive once the TD is there and just answer his questions should be equally protected. At least you need to ask S what he would have done with 6 undoubled.
June 1, 2018
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Craig, if we assume that we can't have a power 3N our way, after they open and respond, strong opponents will rob us. It could be 25 hcp, or less if there is a suit to run.

Jeff's Axx, KJxx, Kxx, AJx is too weak to bid 2N now in my opinion. The first double is fine - we get partner involved in case he has something, which he certainly might. But if he can't act over 2, I'm done.
June 1, 2018
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I think the answer depends on the alert rules, and I don't know ACBL alert rules well enough.

Under international rules, where 4 “splinter” and 4 “void” are equally alertable, I would not adjust if N chose not to ask but instead took a guess as to what conventional meaning E forgot to alert. Selfinflicted damage. Warning to E for not alerting.

If N did ask and was told splinter when it showed a void, I would adjust.
May 30, 2018
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X then 2N is the way to show a strong 2N when they open the bidding. General principle.

1345 or 1354 is a clear second double. Partner might have a pass, and can scramble with 2N if necessary. Bidding 2N on those patterns would be very weird. 0355 makes some sense but would be a very specific hand to cater to (instead of having a normal 2N natural available).
May 30, 2018
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4 shows 6-5 or more shape. S should double with his strong hand and it is clear for N to take it out to 5 with so many black cards.
May 23, 2018
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X of 1N, takeout of spades.
April 2, 2018
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Fair play, absolutely. So are the rules and fortunately so, since for me the position against double shots doesn't even make a lot of sense, suffering heavily from a case-to-case hindsight bias.
March 28, 2018
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No not at all. It is for much more extreme things.
March 28, 2018
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N can bid as he sees fit, and everything about the opponents' explanations and the auction is authorized informaton to him. But he will lose his compensation for a likely illegal 4 bid, if his action is a serious error, wild or gambling (which is surely not the case here).

That is what the rules say, and in my opinion we should just follow those.
March 28, 2018
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No, 6 would surely show a heart control, not ask for one.
March 27, 2018
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I agree with looking on concrete auctions, It could however be difficult, when it is still early in the bidding.

A simple way to slam starts with 3 - 5 splinter.

South has a very strong supporting hand opposite precision with hearts, and north has all good working values with spades behind and would accept a 5 level splinter slam try.
March 1, 2018
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Nothing technical wrong with the ruling, but I would estimate 6 making much more than 20%, but surely not 100%.

For me, east has a clear trump lead from T98 with his diamond strength/length.

After that N has 2 possible lines.
1. Play A and to set up diamonds. This just needs W to be 2/1 or 1/2 in the red suits. No spade finesse needed.

2. Try to ruff 3 black losers in dummy (south). This needs the spade finesse, but also loses, if W has x + Hx, since declarer will have to win the opening lead in hand and later get off dummy with a losing diamond after all the ruffs, after which a spade will promote a trump trick.

In my opinion line 1 seems percentage.

After a spade lead (from Jx, really?), the contract is cold, and after a club lead, only K offside is fatal for line 2, so line 2 must be best after a club lead.

All in all my ruling might be 6 bid 1/2 the time and made 2/3 of the time it was bid.
March 1, 2018
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Disagree with double of 4N. No reason to help them scramble (although they didnt quite take advantage as it went). Pass then double is my choice.

4 and 4N automatic, 5 very bad (panic) - should obv pass.
Jan. 20, 2017
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