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All comments by Mike Ma
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How can you run 3 ? You are missing the K T 9. You will ned K doubleton with E, basically impossible once W has 3 . E down to nothing but after winning 3rd would mean W had 7 . Not impossible, but not indicated by bidding.

Much simpler to take the finesse on trick 2.
Aug. 3
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As I said, if you ruff in your hand, you will need a lot of luck. Obviously, if the finesse loses, they will draw dummy and your last trump, and you will go down at least 2. So say finesse wins, now what?
Aug. 3
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Richard, it is more than that. Advancer must have support to make the X if it is thrump, since intervenor will have to bid 4 without stopper. So what hand can advancer have which has no stopper? If he has short spades, his hand was not right for TO double initially. If he has “long” spades but no stopper, his partner must have enough spades to even think of a stopper. Not impossible of course, his hand could be xxx, Axx, Kxx, Axxx for example. But I think that type of hands are just as if not more rare than a hand with outright penalty X.Opener just walked into a trap with an 8 card fit.
Aug. 3
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If E wins the A (no cover from W of course), she will play a 3rd . If you ruff in your hand, you will need a lot of luck. If you ruff in dummy, you just set up W's Q rom original Qxx.
Aug. 3
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I think you 1) acknowledge BIT when it happened, 2) call the director after the hand is over if the opponents bought the contract. Otherwise, if your side is declaring, call the director when bidding is over.
Aug. 2
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So no one has commented so far on the elephant in the room. I doubt these world GLM or equivalent want to play in restricted events to boost their credentials. but why would they turn down the “green” points?
July 29
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Your system should be geared to not defending when your side has (32) in their suit.
July 29
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Look at how many Europeans have “English” names now. What is Chekov's background. Maybe his forebear went to USA, got his name bastardize, then someone in the family went back to Russia and Chekov the ST guy descended from that.
July 28
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How does N know the slam is doomed? One trick does not a slam set. And how can she be sure S will lead instead of after a Lightner X. Be glad that W bidding gives you a chance to call for the D lead at no cost, and don't be greedy.
July 28
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You think in the Star Trek time, Russian names will still be the same as they were in 1960's or even today?
July 28
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I think the question is what advancer led.
July 28
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At DC, the top seeded team faced one on one vs. the junior team that was going to represent USA. Top seed did not know what hit them, down by some humongous amount at the half. But juniors take and they can give. They self-destructed in the second half, and handed the match to the top seed.

I asked the same question for the main Spingold, if it is better for high seeds to play low seeds one on one or be in 3 surviving out of 4 matches. For the main draw, it probably does not matter. But for 0 -6K, it is very dangerous for a high seed to play a low seed.
July 28
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Stig, check out the articles on preempts by andrew gumpertz. They were really helpful for me. He pointed out that a big factor in preempt in not about going -800 or -1100 whatever, which is all the 2-3-4 stuff is about, but at least in MP, it is going down -200 when it is a hand of partials.
July 27
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When partner opens 1, she has 5 spades. When she doubles, she promises 3 spades, maybe has 4, almost never has 5.
July 25
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To put it simply, there is a big difference between partner having 5 spades and having 3 spades.
July 25
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Mel's rule of 17 is about when you should invite. More than what you should do when you have Mel's 17 or more, the best use of the rule is to tell you when you pass.

When the preempt is at the 3 level, you don't have an invitational bid, so Mel's 17 cannot be applied. As Steve pointed out above, you should look at how many losers you are covering for partner and how many tricks you are providing her.
July 25
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Mel's rules are paint by number rules. Of course they cannot replace judgement. But for less experienced players, having a simple rule allows them figure out what they do. As they apply it, they will learn when the rule works and when it does not, and hopefully figure out why.
July 25
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So whenever you bid 3, they will bid 4 knowing you will bid 4 and judging that you will go down. Even if they think you are going down in 3, why not bid 4 just to get you to bid 4?
July 25
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Attendance is really minor for this NABC. The most important thing is to not suffer a huge loss like ACBL has been doing for one reason or another. Of course attendance is an important part of loos vs. no loss, but it is not the only part. I assume there will thankfully be no loss due to not meeting room commitment this time.
July 25
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I think 3 would be more like the W and with a singleton or better yet, a singleton .
July 25
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