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All comments by Paul Block
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My pass after the double had to be encouraging. With a minimum (or sub-minimum as sometimes happens) I'd have bid 3. If partner had a hand like your construction I'd expect to hear a 4 cue bid on the way to 4.
Jan. 24, 2016
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True enough. Even with the 2 bidder holding AQxxx and out we may not be able to hold them to 4 tricks. The defense will have to be perfect (which may not even be good enough). If the 2 bidder has 6 of them it's really hard to imagine that we can get the 800 that we likely need.

Of course, if we can't actually make 3nt, pass will be a winner. That just seems overly pessimistic. It's only an 11 count, but it looks a lot better than that (especially for play in nt) with all those tens.
Jan. 24, 2016
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Pass. If partner has a hand where we're making slam then we are definitely winning this postmortem.
Jan. 23, 2016
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In the OP you said, “It is important for me not to get abstentions on this.” It seems to me that for your purposes it might have been better to say something like, “If passing this hand (initially) would never have occurred to you, please abstain. My primary goal is to get responses from those who can, at least, imagine that they might make that initial call.”
Jan. 22, 2016
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It depends a little on who made the 2 bid. If I know them to be to be particularly frisky with their weak twos I might be inclined to sit.
Jan. 20, 2016
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4 Kickback.
Jan. 20, 2016
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I would say that the opposite is true, that you shouldn't disclose the issue until you've gotten a critical mass of voting. The advantage of creating a bidding poll is that knowledge of the tank can be surgically deleted.

Yes, you will get abstentions; however, those who are abstaining are clearly looking at the hand differently than the actual West (i.e. they are automatically not “peers”). The ones who are not offended enough (by the initial pass) to abstain are the ones whose votes you want.
Jan. 19, 2016
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Vote changed based on no ELC.
Jan. 19, 2016
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Assuming the opponents have 33hcp or so, partner has room for a king. Since, as Ben points out, any lead might be dangerous, I may as well pick the suit where a king in partner's hand would do the most damage. I lead the 4 and hope. If he doesn't have the king at least maybe he'll be considerate enough to hold the jack.
Jan. 19, 2016
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“I doubt anybody will make a move with Qx,Kxxxx,KQx,Kxx over 4♠, therefore 4♣”

I'm not sure why you'd want them to make a move with that hand, since you're off two aces (not to mention both of you having the K). I expect that you meant Axxxx.
Jan. 18, 2016
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@ Andrzej - I didn't abstain here, as I didn't feel like our earlier mistake detracted from this being a good problem. As you point out, it is not unusual for me to find myself with a problem that others would have avoided with better earlier play (or defense). Mostly, I was trying for some humor. This problem is not entirely different from a common construction of Kit's articles: “After brief consideration, it is clear that a heart lead is correct. You lead a club.”
Jan. 16, 2016
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I'll assume that I'm sitting in for someone who - upon realizing they accidentally had pulled a instead of a - had a major cardiac event.
Jan. 15, 2016
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Pass: 100
2: 60
Dbl: 40
1: 20
1h: 10
Jan. 12, 2016
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Interesting that you qualified your partner as a (BBO) expert. By which I assume you mean that he proceeded to berate you and tell you how bad you are for getting to the wrong contract when he opened 2 with a balanced 14 count.
Jan. 12, 2016
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Partner should stretch to find a rebid over 2, knowing that I could be heavy. It's still possible that we'll languish there when game is a favorite if partner has a minimum perfecto: kqxx, xx, xxxx, xxx. At least we're not vulnerable.

I can't see bidding 2 or 2, since, in response to these bids, partner won't make any particular effort to keep the bidding open. With those rebids, our only hope is that the opponents balance (or pre-balance) and give us an opportunity to catch up.

A 3 bid expresses the value of our hand but doesn't seem like it gives partner enough information to usefully evaluate their values.
Jan. 11, 2016
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Without a weak 2 (which I think would be clear) available, I'd give serious consideration to bidding 1, but at IMPs I just wouldn't be able to do it at the table. Good teammates are too hard to find, and I'm not willing to wager the match on this one hand.
Jan. 8, 2016
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Deleted after re-reading the OP.
Jan. 5, 2016
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@Michael - Do your partners always have 7 hearts in this auction at these colors? Mine don't. Depending on my opponents, I'd probably bid 4 here, but unless I'm playing with my grandma I'm under no illusion that we have 7 heart tricks coming to us on offense.
Jan. 4, 2016
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You could easily be spreading this hand and claiming 12 or 13 tricks after the opening lead if partner has any shape at all (which he figures to with RHO's preempt). I'm baffled at the 3nt bids. Sure, you'd like better shape, but, hell, you have a 25 count with 1st round control of all the suits.
Jan. 3, 2016
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If you were going to consider the extra length the equivalent of the Q then why not do it in the previous round of bidding?
Dec. 31, 2015
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