Join Bridge Winners
All comments by Paul Dalley
1 2 3
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5 is probably a logical bid because it puts partner in a great position to evaluate whether 6M is on. Going - 100 in 5M is a serious possibility though, especially in light of the potentially bad breaks that are looming as a result of the probable 7 -3 club split. For that reason I don't think 4S or even 4H are ridiculous bids at all (yes 4 could easily be better than 4, but bidding it is a little bit too speculative in my opinion despite being slightly hinted to by the suit texture).
2 hours ago
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Well, if you are using 3 as a 3 card limit raise, illd say this hand just about fits that description? Being concerned about getting too high should happen when formulating the methods, not when using them, in my opinion.

I don't t hink that hand is worth any more than say 11-12 points. Its too soft in every way, only 3 trumps, no aces etc. The heart suit has a long way to go before yielding tricks, while trump control and entries seem very limited.

As for bidding hearts, at a glance I don't think it will help partner evaluate their hand, particularly since most of your points are outisde of hearts, e.g. if Pard has a void in hearts then 4 will be close to a sure thing, which would be hard to appreciate after a 2 bid. What are the other reasons to bid hearts? Its possible to get to a 6-3 fit that MIGHT be better than the 5-3 spade fit, but even thats not obvious since taking club ruffs in your hand might be the key. 6-4 fit? well Ill'd play 4 as a natural 4 card suit after 3 anyway, but once again even thats not clearly better than the spade fit.
Aug. 14
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Declarer is prob 6313 or 6214. I think ducking loses if pard has 109x(x) of clubs but otherwise it is better. If declarer has A9xx they may play the Q next round after you duck, otherwise you push declarer into a winning finesse.
July 13
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I agree with that, except opening this hand in my opinion is a winning action, but like everything, it has scenarios where it loses.

Imagine partner had something like this, KQxx x QJx xxxx - consider passing versing opening. It would probably be game by the side that opens.
July 11
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It would be critical for that bidding line that 4NT is to play. Because otherwise you are basically committing to slam by bidding 4, or an inferior contract to NT. Which is further evidence, in my opinion, why the bidding line is flawed - because 4NT is not to play there.
July 10
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Yes, because if you discuss what a minimum opener looks like you will never get to non-making game. (I'm being sarcastic).
July 10
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You don't need 16+ from partner for slam, you just need his points outside of clubs. A 4 card diamond fit and cards like these -K, kQ, QJ is what you need for slam. On the bidding pard prob has points in clubs, and more than just say A which isn't a convincing 3NT holding. i.e. with a non convincing 3NT holding, prob would've bid 4th suit.
July 9
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Yes, with the 10 in hand, 3NT should be quite a comfortable spot :)
July 9
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If 3NT is around minimum game going hand and good club values, then just pass and go positive. Partner is presumably 42(34), even with a 4-4 diamond fit there would be a long way to go. If pard had Kxxx Kx Qxxx Axx then presumably they wouldn't bid that way. Pard may be more like Kxxx Qx xxx AKxx in which case 3NT isn't cold yet.
July 8
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Perfect hand for a moysian. Its close between 3 and 4. Either way I wouldn't leave 3NT after the way partner has been bidding. More likely they don't have values in spades. Candidate hand for partner is

xxx
AK10x
Jx
AQxx

Overall I think 3 is best, intending to remove 3NT to 4. Add the A to partners hand and we prob want to be in 6, pard might be too nervous going there on a 4-3 fit unless you encourage with your 1-2 maximum.
July 6
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With this partner I was not playing non-leaping michaels.
July 4
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Yea I addressed that in my edit. I kept the comment because it might still be relevant on running the club 9 as mentioned in the edit (bottom of the post)

edit: I can understand not reading on after the first sentence.
June 28
Paul Dalley edited this comment June 28
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If the finesse works, I think the opponents can just let the J hold and then there is no squeeze.
June 27
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If the lead was from J10 of clubs then there are 11 top trick. Test diamonds, if the diamonds do not break and West has the long diamonds then play a spade to the J (as west does not have the A or else they would pop up with it and take 2 tricks). If east is the one with long diamonds then play a spade to the K.

That is slightly better than playing a spade without testing diamonds because the chances of making if playing a spade is say 50%, whereas:

chance of making if playing this way is ~35% chance that the diamonds break (I think?) + 50% chance of spade trick (reduced by half chance that the spade A is with the long diamond) = ~35% + ~25% close to 60% roughly.

edit: Oh from north? I assumed south was declarer for some reason. In that case there aren't necessarily 4 club tricks. Could win the first trick with the K, later run the 9 of clubs from north, if it is covered then hope for 3-3 break or 8x with west and then the same line applies.
June 27
Paul Dalley edited this comment June 27
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You have already shown your strength by cueing originally. If partner has a slam hand then they can just go beyond 4 with a cue bid, potentially ending up in 5 at worst if you didn't have control. At least this would likely make.

Partner's 4 bid may not be on any extras. Aren't you concerned that by rushing to show your diamond control you may end up going -100 instead of + 620?
June 26
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This hand looks familiar?? Anyway for me its close between 2 and J. Declarer's candidate shape is 17?? Ill'd want to setup tricks in the minors before declarer can play a spade up to dummy's K and create a discard.
June 25
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1. 3. I think that shows exactly 1354. Can't have 4 spades or 4H, and would rebid one of the minors with more than 9 cards there, especially since its the cheaper bid (e.g. pard can then bid 3H and you could bid 4 with, for example, 0355).

2. Probably repeat clubs (pre discussed as potentially being this hand). Intending to bid hearts asap, especially if pard is scrambling for a spot to play game.

3. 3S - Normally play raising 4th suit as showing 4 cards, but bidding has already denied 4 spades. I would also repeat a minor if I had more than 9 cards there. So it shows exactly 3154. Not sure if the singleton Q of hearts should impact this decision, I would just keep it simple and try to accurately show shape.
June 22
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I am not overly confident in this, but I think try putting in the J at trick 1. If it wins, play the J of spades.

Playing clubs could easily be wrong. It could produce 2 losers which you may not have if you don't touch the suit. For example, you could get home with 3 spades, 3 hearts, 2 diamonds and 1 club (or 2 spades, 3 hearts, 3 diamonds and 1 club etc). The key point is, you may have too many losers if you play clubs, for example, 2 spade losers, 1 heart (the 4th round) and 2 club losers.. Winning the first tirck with the K of hearts commits a club at trick 2.

Anyway think about what you gain by winning the first trick with the K, and not trying the J. If you do so and follow it up with ducking a club (small to the 10) to RHO, you gain a tempo because they will have to return a pointed suit to get their partner on lead in order to return a heart which is relevant IF the Q is with RHO. Well the Q might be with LHO and the tempo may not help all that much.


On a side note, the most likely shapes for the opponents are 3442 opposite 3433. Furthermore, LHO didn't lead a diamond so there is a very small inference that they are the one that is 3433 (although the auction is in favour major lead slightly, so that inference is not strong). But that may be relevant to keep in mind for later play, for one thing if I did need to break the club suit, illd probably play A then another (if you can afford to use the A for that and not a different entry requirement), if RHO has doubleton club with an honour, you would want to play clubs that way.
June 19
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(sorry if I am repeating what someone else has already said)

Souths 3 is very understandable but with the benefit of lounge chair analysis, I think X is a better bid. If P bids a minor, you have a clear spade splinter as your next bid. If P bids NT then 3NT is probably okay (key difference is partner isn't pressured to bid NT as is clearly the case in the actual auction, so NT without pressure is probably indicative of lots of spade values). In other words, the saving of space gives you a much better chance to figure out what sort of hand Partner has which is particularly useful here.

(by the way, if they compete then there are also various good ideas on how to proceed).

North is also a little to blame I think. I think its reasonable to say that you would have an uncomfortable feeling about bidding 3NT, as the hand clearly has a lot of potential opposite the correct dummy. Whether North should've made a bid other than 3NT is not clear. It probably depends at least a little bit on bidding style, for example, what does the 3 bid typically contain. It takes some bravery to bid anything other than 3NT, even if it does look reasonably correct to do so.
June 19
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Even though the hand is quite nice, diamond honours are at a huge premium. K of Diamonds is worth about 5-7 points. Etc. Q may not be much of a card. Actually could see 3NT going down. Give partner

Jx
QJx
AQJ10xx
Ax

K of diamonds off side, and clubs are 6-3, making 1NT..

Swap the Q for the K and it becomes a very solid 4NT bid.
June 17
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