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All comments by Phil Clayton
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I dont mind 1N on A=3=4=5 or A=4=3=5.

Here, it seems like an unnecessary distortion
33 minutes ago
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Not going to try to thread the needle here, so 3. I'll play 4 or 5.

I don't think this problem is enough of a snowflake to warrant a general poll. A bidding poll is fine.
7 hours ago
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Ed, that's kind of my visualization too, but after 20 minutes or so, I may say “the heck with it” and place 7N on the table.

I would gladly take a slow penalty for getting this one right.
Oct. 19
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Interesting question. It seems like you could probably come up with a reasonable calculation at the table without burning too much clock. I'd start by assuming 36 HCP and a 4333, and figure as possible:

1. Missing an Ace (0%) - 2 cases.
2. Missing a King and Jack. There are 3-Kings and Two Jacks missing, so 6 cases. You can go through the six combos and look at the four card suits across. For instance

KJ: If pard is 4=3=3=3 or 3=3=4=3, we have essentially a 0% play. 3=4=3=3 or 3=3=3=4 its 100%, 50% net.

K, J: 4333 or 3343 is the spade hook, 3433 is a spade hook or heart break, 3334 is cold. ~71% net.

Continue this for Q × Q (3) and Q + J × J (3)

Aggregate these and adjust upward since and 4432 or 5332 gives you much better odds.

5 pounts outstanding gives you a few more combos to cope with, but you get the picture.

As I go theough this, I'm starting to think 7N is a favorite.

In the end, getting your pard to renember Gerber seems like an easier task. Hopefully not.
Oct. 19
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Yeah, this is the heart of the matter, not trying to come up with a contorted line about scoring the 9.

Edited: nonsense
Oct. 18
Phil Clayton edited this comment Oct. 18
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In addition to Frances' comments, any systemic suggestion needs to provide a comprehensive set of disadvantages and what you give up by playing the proposed method.
Oct. 18
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My suggestion is to locate the 13th card.

This is a tough slam to find. The T9 are very valuable and there isn't a wasted Q or J.

But I hate 3N. 2N is fine. Partner can show a fragment and then support spades which will get the spade hand more enthusiastic.
Oct. 18
Phil Clayton edited this comment Oct. 18
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There appear to be two 3's.

Frances' layout makes sense, however if partner has Kx, we'd look doubly stupid crashing clubs and subjecting partner to an endplay however. Simply ducking the club leads to a set.

QJxxx AKx xx Jxx isnt much of a slam drive. I'll pay off to that.
Oct. 17
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Nor do I have an itchy trigger finger and want to start rhythm doublimg.
Oct. 17
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I like 2. 2 now seems perfect and expresses this shape.
Oct. 17
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So, in one of your 7 cases, declarer will take a losing diamond finesse.

The analysis does not mention the not-too-unlikely event of East having four hearts. Good reason to play count on the K.

However, to your point, we could also have the K, be off a trump, and need to cash the A and sit back, but that wouldn't point to a stiff K at all.

Rajeshwar, you make some good points, but I can't help but think you are ‘fitting’ your conclusion to the actual hand.
Oct. 16
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I would expect ‘goodish’ 3 calls to be included in 2N.
Oct. 15
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Doubtful RHO is encouraging hearts looking at the K.
Oct. 15
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Elaborate?
Oct. 14
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edit: Note that is we have both 2M available with 1 2 - you have some flexibility with what to do with these calls. One could show a side 4cM and the other long clubs.
Oct. 14
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Thanks all for the great comments.

Anyway, we had a disconnect here. The other hand was KTx x AKQx AKJxx. This hand bid 4 thinking it was a choice of games. The other hand pictured Axx xxx Jxxxx xx and put it to 6. A spade lead put it quickly down.

Only lose 2 since 5 was doomed as well - WD teammates for also finding the spade lead.
Oct. 14
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https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Y%27all

Chatted with several lifelong Texans about this today.

Y'all is always plural. “All” may be added for emphasis when asking a rhetorical question, as in “all y'all know theres a prayer meeting tonight?”
Oct. 14
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David - usually an unbalanced max too good for 3m.
Oct. 14
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After 1m 2m

2m+1 = weak nt. Now 2N and 3m are NF
2N = forcing, 17-19. Now 3x is short
3m = NF,
Jumps are shortness
Oct. 14
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No, it's both singular and plural. No need to add the ‘all’.
Oct. 14
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