Join Bridge Winners
All comments by Richard Willey
You are ignoring the author of this comment. Click to temporarily show the comment.
If misinformation has been provided, the offending side is obligated to point this out at the first opportunity.

In this case, LHO should have noted that the alert was mistaken after the bidding had finished and before the opening lead was made.

It’s worth mentioning that the precise same procedure should apply regardless of whether the misinformation involved a conventional sequence or a natural sequence.
March 26, 2014
You are ignoring the author of this comment. Click to temporarily show the comment.
BBO used to have the notion of a private club as a supported feature. This never got used much and I believe it was discontinued. You might be able to convince Uday to bring it back.
March 22, 2014
You are ignoring the author of this comment. Click to temporarily show the comment.
I would strongly prefer if all extraneous discussion of religion, politics, etc. were banned on these boards. Things can get heated enough without allowing politic disagreements to spill over into a bridge forum.

FWIW, I don't have any problem with

1. Discussions about bridge federations like the WBF, the EBU, or the ACBL

2. Discussions about bridge incidents like Shanghai which resulted in incidental discussions about US politics and the Chinese government

3. “Political” ads like Keystone XL (my presumption is that the choice of ads isn't a conscious choice of the folks who run the site)

However, general discussion regarding politics and the like have the potential to go pear shaped very quickly.
March 15, 2014
You are ignoring the author of this comment. Click to temporarily show the comment.
Partner doubled, I have a void, and RHO couldn't find an immediate club raise. I know that its dangerous to trust the opponents, but sounds like partner has a NT oriented hand that is too strong to double. I wish I had a club to lead, but even so I'm doubling…
March 12, 2014
You are ignoring the author of this comment. Click to temporarily show the comment.
In my experience, pairs eliminate strong options from their multi 2 opening so they can pass 2 with suitable hands. In turn, this significantly increases the difficulty of devising a defense.
March 11, 2014
You are ignoring the author of this comment. Click to temporarily show the comment.
2 = 4+ Diamonds and 4+ in either major
2 = 4+ Hearts and (4+ Spades or 5+ Clubs)
2 = 6+ Spades or (4+ Spades and 5+ Clubs)

http://www.chrisryall.net/bridge/weak.two/frelling.htm
March 10, 2014
You are ignoring the author of this comment. Click to temporarily show the comment.
Personally, I'd like to see explicit linkage between the inherent variance of event formats and masterpoint awards.

Decreasing the number of boards shortens the amount of time required to hold an event, however, it also significantly increases the variance in the results. Its much easier for a weak team to upset a stronger one in an 8 board match than a 16 board match.

We have enough board results to be able to estimate the inherent variance in board results. Its easy enough to run a Monte Carlo simulation to determine the accuracy of given formats. Given that masterpoints supposedly measure performance, it seems right and proper to tie the size of the award to our certainty that the best team won.

Feb. 28, 2014
You are ignoring the author of this comment. Click to temporarily show the comment.
If bridge has a future in North America, its not going to involve the ACBL. In a previous thread, Kevin Lane provided a good breakdown of “masterpoint winners” by age. With 10 years, over 50% of existing players will exit the system. Within 2 years, you're going to lose 90%. Its conceivable that the ACBL will come up with some dramatic new recruitment system that will arrest this trend, but given their track record over the past couple decades I'd be shocked if this were to happen.

I'd argue that the best option for serious players who are genuinely concerned about the game is to prepare for this eventuality. From my perspective, this will require setting up parallel organizations alongside the ACBL. Lose of members is going to cripple the ACBL's finances. The organization will be far too distracted to be any good to folks.

The USBF should be able to handle issues related to international representation. Hwever, I recommend that folks who want to compete in regional or national level events 20 years hence should start planning for the great unwinding.
Feb. 28, 2014
You are ignoring the author of this comment. Click to temporarily show the comment.
Still think we'd be better off outsourcing the whole damn thing to the Brits and just adopt the Orange Book
Feb. 27, 2014
You are ignoring the author of this comment. Click to temporarily show the comment.
Is the variance associated with a method reasonable grounds for restricting sanction?

Assume that you have two different 2H opening bids.

• Both bids have the same expected value per board
• The complexity of the suggested defenses is comparable
• The variance in the board results is significant higher for method A compared to method B

Is it reasonable to restrict approval for method A because its use can disadvantage stronger card players / defenders?
Feb. 26, 2014
You are ignoring the author of this comment. Click to temporarily show the comment.
Thanks for getting these numbers!

Based on what you're showing, I'm guessing that upwards of 45% of the current membership will drop from the rolls by 2025 and upwards of 80% will be gone by 2035.

You're going to need one hell of a recruiting program to try to outweigh these demographics.

Feb. 20, 2014
You are ignoring the author of this comment. Click to temporarily show the comment.
nope
Feb. 18, 2014
You are ignoring the author of this comment. Click to temporarily show the comment.
It’s hard to make a reasonable recommendation without better information regarding the expected attrition in membership rolls over the next 10 years.

Last I heard, the mean age of the ACBL membership is something like 73. As horrific as that number might sound, the “reality” is probably a lot worse. Given the demographic skew, the mode is probably higher than that. Before doing anything else, I’d want to understand three pieces of data

• What is the mode age of the ACBL membership?
• What percentage of the membership does the mode +/- 2 years encompass?
• What is the average age at which ACBL members leave the rolls?

Personally, I think that the membership numbers are going to go through a dramatic contraction over the next few years as a demographic bulge exits the system. A strong membership campaign might be able to keep pace with this, but I’m not going to hold my breath waiting for the ACBL to hit 250K.
Feb. 18, 2014
You are ignoring the author of this comment. Click to temporarily show the comment.
As I recall, the intent of the methods is to make a better informed decision about when to play 3NT. The methods

1. Provides some of the same information as 4 way transfers with pre-accepts.

2. Provides some of the same information as 1N - (P) - 3M “anti-lemming”




Feb. 4, 2014
You are ignoring the author of this comment. Click to temporarily show the comment.
Notrump bidding the Scanian Way has a good write up.

As I recall, 2NT showed any minimum.
New suits at the three level showed a worthless doubleton

Feb. 3, 2014
You are ignoring the author of this comment. Click to temporarily show the comment.
If the opponents intervene in the auction, we are committed to either double them or compete to the five level.

(I chose this auction because it was simple, not necessarily that it was that exciting)


Feb. 3, 2014
You are ignoring the author of this comment. Click to temporarily show the comment.
I prefer to play strong club systems. As a result, we have a lot of auctions like

1H - (P) - 3N

which is defined as “to play” and which explicitly includes the possibility of a preemptive raises. We've had to think a fair amount regarding competitive auctions and disclosure.

Explicitly differentiating between auctions that promise values and establish forcing passes and those that don't was essential for our own state of mind. Accordingly, we also figure that its something the opponents would probably find of interest…

As a practical example, the auction 1H - 3N does not establish a forcing pass. However, an auction like

1H - 2N
4H

does establish a forcing pass
Feb. 3, 2014
You are ignoring the author of this comment. Click to temporarily show the comment.
Were I to try to “square the circle”, I'd do so using the notion of a forcing pass.

Let's assume an auction like

2S - (P) - 2N

Where 2S is a weak two bid in spades. If 2NT is a purely interrogative bid then it won't establish a forcing pass. In contrast, if 2NT shows values (you're trying to invite game or some such) I'd expect a forcing pass to be established.

Personally, I think that this is a critical piece of information that needs to be disclosed. Personally, I consider this to be more important than what type of ask you happen to be making.
Feb. 3, 2014
You are ignoring the author of this comment. Click to temporarily show the comment.
Alerting everything is equivalent to alerting nothing. I fear that we've hit the point where this bit no longer conveys any useful information.
Jan. 28, 2014
You are ignoring the author of this comment. Click to temporarily show the comment.
A few years back, I argued on the BBO forums that BBO should use its leadership position to push through open standards for VuGraph broadcast. I thought it would be advantageous to establish a tradition of free and open access for the raw feed encompassing the basic hand records (the individual deals, the bids made, the cards played, etc.) If people wanted to, they charge for value added services like comments and analysis layered over the “basic” information.

Sadly, this never went anywhere. Its always difficult to get hegemons to understand that they have a vested interest in establishing Open Standards.


Jan. 8, 2014
.

Bottom Home Top