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All comments by Scott Needham
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There are all sorts of structures in which users assume the risk of missing a 4-4 major fit. WNT opposite a weak hand (SNTers open 1m), SNT opposite a weak hand (WNTers open 1m) to name the most obvious. Meh.
April 11, 2018
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moved
April 11, 2018
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Also want to note that we'd play 1-2/3 with this layout, 3 showing the solid suit, asking cues.
April 9, 2018
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One of those fundamental issues. I'd open an AK, A 4-4-3-2, but not 4333. Decided to get rigid with the Rule/22.
April 7, 2018
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New suit = short, 2N asks: 3M = 3cd, else suit = short w/4cd support, 3N = bal 4cd. Ser3N, KB.

After a 2 rebid, we play 2M = 3cd, new suit = short, 4cd, 2N = bal 4cd.
April 7, 2018
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We play the 2 rebid only for nondescript openers. With a good hand, one that will be in game regardless, opener starts game/slam tries immediately.
April 7, 2018
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what about 4, no stiff, 10 or 11 HCP? Pretty please? That was my original comparator.
April 2, 2018
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After studying the NLTC/LTC writeups, it seems to me that these methods get me to the same place as more standard hand evaluation/judgment methods.
April 2, 2018
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I note the current plurality vote in the OP. Some time ago, I did a casual (read “incompetent”) sim of Axxx x Axxx xxxx as against a balanced 11 HCP LR. I had always thought the first was a good LR, but layouts with the bal LRs scored more tricks significantly more often.

Maybe someone can run a competent sim?
April 1, 2018
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CG: I find this discussion very instructive on the main issues: What does a NSer3N try look like, and what does it need to look like in order to cooperate opposite a waffling partner? It highlights the most critical of bidding issues, hand evaluation in the context of whatever stuff one plays. As others have written, there is a wide range of opinion re: the creds of the OP holding. The rest is a matter of constructing hands for responder, trying to justify the 4 advance of NSer3N (no K, the gorilla in the room) in context of the 4 stop.

For any of this to be reasonable, I conclude that responder should have a big HCP holding with a questionable control. I note that AJx KJTx KQJx xx (not even that big) is good opposite something like KQxxx Qxx Ax Axx (which would probably get more folks up into the 6-8 range), but is responder justified in casting about for a similar holding? Is opener justified in moving over 4 with such a holding? That's the crux for me, and the main takeaway – I like to learn something when I beat my brains against a rock – is that I'd like to have a way to highlight Q opposite K, which is one issue provoked by the actual sequence.

I think CM's various posts of March 22 and thereabouts are descriptive of the main ‘structural’ issues. Yet these posts are made in a context in which he opines that (a) responder's hypothetical AJx Kx KQx QJ10xx is not strong enough to risk the 5 level and (b) the OP hand is a “5.” To which the Cherrypicker responds “Is opener's KQxxx Qxx xx AKx also just average? Would opener cue the K with this, risking the 5 level opposite a Neb2 responder who has GFed but apparently provided no valuable shape information?”

Presumably, slight changes to opener's mitt – KQxxx(x) x Axx(x) Axx – would move it up in the value matrix for many if not most of the “5/6” evaluators. But even one of these won't go in context of a responder lacking the K. Which, of course, is why so many pass 4.

I need a nap.
March 29, 2018
Scott Needham edited this comment March 29, 2018
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More ‘picking: AJx KJTx KQJx Qx (K&R 15.8)?
(Irrelevant, but we could be off 9 cards in at 3N from responder’s POV.)

EDIT: Cherrypick along: What's opener's best hand for NSer3N? KT9xx Kx(x) Ax(x) Ax(x)? Gill's hand, above, maybe with K thrown in–or is that a Ser cue?
March 27, 2018
Scott Needham edited this comment March 27, 2018
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Good point, unless you're one of those pairs that use the higher to show both (not for me). AJx QJxx KQJx QJ? I guess the crux is, one can cherrypick hands 'til next year, but the auction until 3N was remarkably uninformative; maybe we think responder with a (yes, quacky: K&R 14) 17 count should not be cuing?
March 27, 2018
Scott Needham edited this comment March 27, 2018
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CG: AJx QJxx KQxx Kx and variants (throw in the J and Q)? And maybe opener holds KTxxx xx Axx AQx, maybe Kxxxx Kx Axx Axx?
March 27, 2018
Scott Needham edited this comment March 27, 2018
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After burning more brain cells on this problem (nice job Phil, way too much time spent on this one),emphasizing its Neb2 and LTTC elements, isn't 5 over 4 a control ask (whether by standard or LTTC understandings)? so that 4 is uncertainty as to 5-level safety b/c of ? And maybe we all should be thinking about Q opposite K as well as the possible A. If so, wouldn't 4N show A, and 5 the Q or K?
March 24, 2018
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4 says nothing about . Partner's after you showing both a and a control by either keycarding or 5-level cues. I'd put herm on 16 or so, balanced, say: AJx Kx(xx) KQxx Kx(xx).
March 23, 2018
Scott Needham edited this comment March 23, 2018
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It's just a “my hand only has value here” kind of thing. The most common 2 opener, as we know, is strong and balanced.
March 22, 2018
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In my preferred version of Neb2C, this auction would proceed differently, and I'd know whether the support included real . The OP auction, as detailed by Phil, is relatively uninformative; the slam-try decision in general, depending as it does upon visualization of partner's possible/likely holdings, is negatively affected. A partnership in this context, it seems to me, must have rules of the sort advanced by Gibson, below. It's purely power oriented. EDIT: and by Gill. EDIT AGAIN: After 1s-2 (5+), it's a different problem, less quantitative.
March 22, 2018
Scott Needham edited this comment March 22, 2018
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Rationale for the splinter with any opener: We are in a GF, and the most descriptive call is usually the most helpful. Personally, I love finding low HCP slams and 3N (when the field goes down in 4M, or when 4N outscores 4M).
March 22, 2018
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“By not taking the relay to 2♠” and transferring instead.
March 22, 2018
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Does this auction show real ? Axx A(xx..) xx KQJxx isn't Serious, but….
March 22, 2018
Scott Needham edited this comment March 22, 2018
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