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All comments by Steve Chen
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@Marshall: it is interesting to hear that having weak 2 is more valuable than weak 2. In my experience, people tend to think the other way (lots of players are willing to give up 2 for something else but not 2). Would you care to elaborate the reasoning, or just point me to the sub-thread you mentioned?
Sept. 4, 2018
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Yes that makes sense. I also think that pass for penalty with this hand is a big gamble, which is why I now agree that failure to overcall 1 earlier makes this an exception of pass being penalty.
Sept. 4, 2018
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The overwhelming reason is that declarer is known to have singleton or void in spades. Partner's failure to double says he doesn't have a strong opinion on what to lead, but it doesn't say that he wants a spade lead either.
Sept. 4, 2018
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Arguably, pass here could mean “I intended to pass if RHO didn't bid”, in other words pass is penalty.

Now, whether this hand *should* pass for penalty, that is a different topic. But when I do pass for penalty, partner better not to remove.
Sept. 4, 2018
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If playing mini-maxi (which I dislike, but I guess it makes more sense here since 3 consumes so much space), why did North not start with 1? If North did bid 3, he will have to treat the hand as max and go on.
Aug. 31, 2018
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Then on a different hand where you are truly weak (and LHO happens to have a good hand), your pass forces your partner to take action, which they can penalize.
Aug. 31, 2018
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Either blasting to 3NT, or inviting, or even passing, is reasonable. But showing 13(54) GF is a quite inaccurate description of the hand, unless your agreement is that it specifically shows 13(54) with honor concentrated on short suits.
Aug. 30, 2018
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I don't think 4 should be forcing. Does it matter anyway? What else can I bid other than 4? If partner wants to force to game, he can still bid over 4.
Aug. 30, 2018
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The only thing I learned from this thread is that this is a close call. I will probably just bid game at IMPs, but I wouldn't be surprised if it doesn't make. Inviting can be right, although there are plenty of hands that partner accepts but game goes down, or vice versa. There is no way to “prove” a particular action is superior to others – even with simulation, there will be questions about whether simulation conditions are absolutely correct, or how well they represent the actual table results. I think it is time to move on, knowing that there are multiple reasonable actions available. What's clear is, whichever option my partner chooses, I won't criticize it.
Aug. 30, 2018
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If declarer has AQ10xxx KJ10 xx Ax, don't we beat 5 already (AK, A)? Under-leading diamond is trying for down 2 but risks contract making.

Could be a tougher problem against 4.
Aug. 29, 2018
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I'd say takeout plus a good hand. Not a minimum overcall.
Aug. 29, 2018
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Maybe a computer sim can settle it, but I feel all these choices are splitting hairs.
Aug. 28, 2018
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After a year, I just realized I wrote it wrong. I meant 8 diamonds and roughly 7 to 7.5 tricks…
Aug. 28, 2018
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Maybe it *should* be running minor… but you know partner doesn't have one here. Are you going to punish partner in live game?
Aug. 27, 2018
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OK fair enough.
Aug. 27, 2018
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It is not ACBL/EBU's problem if a beginner system is too sophisticated for some players. You don't think you'd function well with those cards? Fine, bring your own convention card, two of them!
Aug. 27, 2018
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Why would partner's double be DSI? Why cannot partner have a penalty double hand (not unlikely since you are short in their suit)?
Aug. 27, 2018
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Isn't it funny – sometimes opponent's bids solve our problems – if we have the right treatment.
Aug. 27, 2018
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What if partner IS asleep? Doesn't that happen to all of us, especially if we are tired? Technically J may be the best, but in practice the tiny advantage may be offset by a possible screw-up.
Aug. 27, 2018
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Yes, when opponents have 30 HCP total, and declarer has K, leading club can give an extra trick, not leading it may get a top.

If partner has one entry, then club lead is often best. Not leading it may just get a fat zero.

In MP my main goal is to avoid cold bottoms. On this hand, I am willing to give up a possible (but unlikely) top and settle for a normal result.
Aug. 27, 2018
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