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Bridge Winners Profile for Anthony Golding

Anthony Golding
Anthony Golding
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Basic Information

Member Since
Sept. 10
Last Seen
14 minutes ago
Member Type
bridge player

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The Fallacy of Restricted Choice
Peter, tell me what you think is wrong with the following. When East holds both K and Q and wins the first finesse with the K, the second finesse loses. When East holds both K and Q and wins the first finesse with the Q, the second finesse loses. East ...
The Fallacy of Restricted Choice
Roland, I am pleased you agree that East does not have the stiff spade queen. That leaves leaves 62146 relevant deals where East has just the jack and 67392 where he has both honours. So, clearly, the finesse wins 62146 times and loses 67392 times. The finesse won 0.47975 ...
The Fallacy of Restricted Choice
Roland, you did it wrong! You say that East held a stiff spade honour or both spade honours. That is not consistent with Robson's deal. East does not have a stiff spade queen because he won the first finesse with the jack. Please do it properly and report back.
The Fallacy of Restricted Choice
Paul, that is preposterous. I thought we were talking about bridge not some fantasy game were Paul gets a redeal if his finesse loses.
The Fallacy of Restricted Choice
David, what a good idea! A thousand deals would be significant. Surely, lots of members can do the simulation. If you can, please, please do it and report the results here.
The Fallacy of Restricted Choice
Thank you Josh. Sanity at last.
The Fallacy of Restricted Choice
Paul,I think the way ahead is for you to propose the terms. Please be precise on the conduct of the deal. I suggested that we keep dealing until one of us has had enough. You might like propose another way conclude the exercise. Finally you should propose the stakes ...
The Fallacy of Restricted Choice
Roland, what on earth do you mean? We shuffle, deal the 22 cards and accept the result. Then we shuffle again, deal and get another result which we also accept, and so on and so on.
The Fallacy of Restricted Choice
Ulrich, if you dispute my exposure please tell why I am wrong.
The Fallacy of Restricted Choice
Cornelia,"Of course Mr Golding is wrong"...that's the pot calling black! I am certain because I have exposed the Reese-Bird fallacy. What makes you certain?
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