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Bridge Winners Profile for Murat Azizoglu

Murat Azizoglu
Murat Azizoglu
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Basic Information

Member Since
March 4, 2011
Last Seen
15 hours ago
Member Type
Bridge Player

Bridge Information

ACBL Ranking
Bronze Life Master
Reid & Murat
Precision
Copy to my cards View/Print
The Fallacy of Restricted Choice
I originally thought that Mr. Golding was writing in good faith and was confused about some concepts in conditional probability. Now, I have my doubts: as several people have indicated, he might know exactly what he is doing. Pretty sad if that is the case.
The Fallacy of Restricted Choice
The bet Mr. Golding proposes at the end of the article does not correspond to the actual problem at hand. Rather, it corresponds to the situation where the defender always plays J first when he has QJ. What is the correct probability experiment? Take the 26 cards belonging to the ...
ACBL Nationals Start times
In addition to the small sample size and the lack of statistical significance, the leading paragraph before the poll could easily affect the results. There is also an inherent randomness to the point in time at which the results are deemed 'final'. Last time I had checked a few days ...
Incredible double dummy problem from Collegiates
Early club play and preserving A are essential to the success of the play. In a minor variation of your solution, you can go back and forth in trumps, i.e. the first 4 tricks would be A, A, K, K. Then the playing of trumps would reach the same ...
ACBL Tests Online NABC Event
John, you are right. If you try to improve the homogeneous model, the problem of estimating the highest score becomes very difficult very quickly. Essentially, the answer will depend very strongly on your input parameters. For example, if you assume some fraction of your participants have a higher mean (and ...
ACBL Tests Online NABC Event
I expect 62-65% will be sufficient with 3000 participants. This is based on a standard deviation estimate of 7.4% for a 24-board session and a Gaussian approximation (which might be off at the tails).
ACBL Tests Online NABC Event
I like the idea very much. Not everyone has the time, the resources, or the inclination to travel to an NABC. This gives those people an opportunity to participate, albeit in a suboptimal manner.
Do you spend too much time playing bridge?
It is Carlo, not Carlos.
Do you spend too much time playing bridge?
I interpreted the question more broadly to mean whether I thought I have spent too much time on the game. Although I play only about once a month these days, I answered Yes. That's because I think about or read about bridge more than what I think is reasonable ...
Post-Heptagons from the 5th Dimension
I agree. This is the first BW article I've felt the need to print out so I could read it very carefully. While the concepts are clearly laid out, it is not clear how thinking about the fifth dimension helps one plan the play. Perhaps it would help to ...
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