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Common Game 2016-03-29 Board 1
West
3
KQ9743
J2
KQ86
North
8
J862
A93
A9754
East
KQJ1092
10
87
J1032
South
A7654
A5
KQ10654
D
1
West
North
East
South
P
2
3
P
3
X
5
P
P
P

Analysis by Kevin Wilson

South has a tough decision over 3. South is confident that North has short spades but is equally confident that North has wasted values in clubs. North didn't bid 3 so North doesn't have five or more hearts. North has only one spade (likely) and four or fewer hearts so that leaves a lot of cards in the minors. Originally, I had South bid 4 over 3 and then sign off when North bids 5 over 4. This is a valid auction as well but I think South will just try 5, knowing that there are a lot of spades to ruff and clubs will be difficult to establish.
A crossruff is the only valid line of play. On a non-trump lead, declarer can make 12 tricks via 9 trump tricks and 3 aces. A trump lead hold the contract to 11 tricks.

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