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@Tryfonas,
East should bid 1N because we play Kaplan Inversion. Hover with your mouse on 1NT bid in the diagram - there is an explanation there.
If you insist that 1-1-3m should show 15-16 and not 14, add J to East hand and answer the question then. We play it as 14-16 and not 15-16, but this does not really matter. The question was about 3 bid. FWIW, your sequence shows 11-13 in our methods and opener has evaluated his hand as too strong for this.
Nov. 27
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After the same action my opponent argued that they would bid if they knew I could have less than 8 points.
The director agreed with her so now I alert this every time.
Next week when the same opponents arrived to my table her first words were: “Please alert and explain all your wrong bids!”
I wish I could…
Oct. 27
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I think that with Kit's methods it would go just dbl-3, since double always promises .
May 23, 2017
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Club game, 2 lols. The bidding goes 1NT(15-17) - all pass. The dummy comes down with some balanced, normally looking 11 count.
Still there are 8 obvious tricks and no chances for 9th.
After writing -120 and seeing that all other tables are in 3NT-1, my partner asked the dummy about the reason she passed.
In a very teaching tone, she explained slowly:
“Well, there were 3 reasons.
First, I had no majors, so major game wasn't too likely.
Second, we were not vulnerable, so you shouldn't push in this position to reach the game.
And third, I've miscounted my points!”
Oct. 31, 2015
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If declarer has Kxx, East must have a singleton. But probably at your table East was RR who thought that the contract is 6NT and didn't ruff Papa's heart continuation…
April 2, 2014
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Felix, if this is just “unfortunate incident” I think it still can be fixed. But this thread is now 4 days old and similar thread on Mr. Wald FB page is 6 days old. I mean that Indonesian side could somehow react to all this buzz during these days. But there were no reaction. And this makes me to believe that this is more than incident - but rather, as Hanan Sher defined earlier, “stonewalling”. I admit that I have no “quantitative evidence” for it. Moreover, if we were in a court I believe good advocate would break my claims in a minutes. But I'm not advocate. I'm just bridge player - so I try to draw inferences from the (incomplete) information which I have.
My inference is that this is not an incident. Yours probably that it is.

And about that mayor that gave me his word - no, I don't go. The mayor is probably very competent person and knows how to govern the city. But he still may be colorblind or wear pink/rose-colored glasses.
It is definitely possible that WBF asked all the questions that Israeli security wanted to ask the Indonesians. It is also possible that they got very satisfactory answers. But it is also possible that they missed something - since they are not a security specialists. And in that case the price may prove unbearable.
July 7, 2013
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Felix,
let me try to explain the situation by an example:
Imagine that you want to order a room in some hotel.
Imagine also that you have some specific problem which is important to you - say, you hate pink color and you want to be sure that the walls in your room are not pink.

You know that there are many people stay in this hotel each year and are quite happy with it.
You also go to the hotel's website, check the pictures of the rooms and see that the walls are definitely not pink.
So you have no “quantitative evidences” about any problem.
Still, you want to be sure. So you call hotel's reception. The girl there says “I'll check the walls and call you back”. You wait for the call for some days. Then you call again and you hear that “I'm still checking”. And some more days. And more - weeks and months.
Would you find this behavior reasonable?
Would you still want to order that room?
And if this is some business trip - would you ask your company to find you another hotel?

The security issues for every Israeli are very real. And while you definitely may conclude that Bali is safe - other people may have different opinion. So they may ask questions. And yes - the host definitely should answer these questions in a reasonable time. And if they fail to do this, one should find another host.
July 7, 2013
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Jonathan,
I've read again the whole thread and haven't found any remark about Indonesian nation. There were some remarks about “Indonesians” or “Indonesian side”, but all these, however critical they were, addressed solely Indonesian bridge federation. Nobody tried to suggest that whole Indonesian nation is responsible in any way for the security of some bridge team.
However, Mr. Hancocks remark is very different. It implied that all Israelis (not state of Israel and not Israeli government- ALL Israelis) are deserved to be ignored. This IS antisemitism. He didn't criticise the state of Israel. Neither he said anything about its behaviour. He addressed the nation as a whole. If this is not racism, please enlighten me with your own definition.
July 6, 2013
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@Giles Hancock.
When some people choose to ignore, hate or express any other negative feelings to some other nation as a whole, they call it “racism”. In case of Jews or Israelis, there is even more specific term - “antisemitism”. So I don't wonder why people ignore my nation - the roots of antisemitism are well investigated. I rather wonder whether people who put sentences like yours on a public forum are aware of the meaning of their words…
Please feel free to ignore this comment - after all, I'm Israeli.
July 6, 2013
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Some more food for thought:
In 2009 Israeli tennis player, Shahar Peer, was denied a visa to United Arab Emirates and could not participate in Dubai championship. WTA made it very clear to the organizers that this is completely unacceptable - they were fined a \$300,000.
Wall Street Journal terminated the sponsorship of the tournament. Tennis TV channel refused to translate its matches. Andy Roddick withdrew.

If I remember correctly, WTA officials also said that in 2010 they would allow the tournament only after all these issues are settled. In 2010 Peer was allowed to participate and made it to the semifinals. She was secured by 20 or 30 local bodyguards.
http://sports.espn.go.com/sports/tennis/news/story?id=3922734
http://www.guardian.co.uk/sport/2010/may/18/shahar-peer-israeli-woman-uae

I'm not saying that the current situation is equivalent. As mentioned above, Israeli team was not officially banned. Still I think that these facts show that WBF could do more than just ask them to withdraw.
July 4, 2013
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That's exactly why I thought 4 is correct. Partner is expected to have about 6-7 HCP. If he has A (which is quite likely ), he cannot have more than 1 Q or K.
I have 2 weak suits. If pard has something in , my holding is bad for NT. And if he has something in , then I will probably need to cash another 8 quick tricks after winning ace - not too likely.
From the other hand, in contract I think I have more options.
I think it would be interesting to run some simulation here.
June 2, 2013
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I think that there are too many unknown facts here. We don't know how the bidding went after 2, for example. Also, both OP and you assume that the offending side would make the right decision after 5,which is to double. Are you sure that 5x-1 is absolutely improbable result? I think that before you express your opinion in such a strong terms, you should at least know all the factors involved. I'm not saying that director was right - indeed his decision looks strange. But I like to be VERY cautious before I call somebody “stupid”.
May 10, 2013
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Partner's actual hand was
AK10x 9xxx x KQJ10
(Steve Moese was very close). At the table I bid 4. LHO led his singleton heart, got a ruff and we finished losing 2 hearts, a spade (Qxx after the dummy) and a club. Most of the field was of course in 4 after 1 - 1, making.
I wonder whether John Lowell's argument about 4 (“this is where the field will be”) would be the best basis for the decision at matchpoints.
Thank you all for the great comments.
And no, I really have no connection to Vondracek…
April 19, 2013
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This is true when the 2N bidder has to choose between pass and double. But if he thinks about competing to 4, imho he is in much better position to make the right decision - when he knows that partner was or wasn't able to preaccept his transfer.
Feb. 13, 2013
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Well, maybe my example was not so good. I didn't mean that we can use this only after passout-seat overcalls. I use these principles whenever both me and partner made some bid (so we know that our side is not too weak) and opponents overcall at 2nd level. Probably, something like 1 - (1) - X - (2) - ? is more common. Here, for example, too many times I've seen that either 1 was made with 4-bagger or the raise was with doubleton. It's very useful to have a tool to discover this and punish such “unlawful” actions. And when they do actually have a fit, we know it and can compete further.
Back to weak NT auctions, I think that if you allow the opener to pass with some “too heavy” doubletons, than you miss the whole point of these agreements which is imho to allow the responder to pass confidently with length in their suit and strength. Anyway, thanks for the answer.
Oct. 18, 2012
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I use such double, with two of their suit, in other common weak nt situation when we both bid something at 1st level and then they overcall at 2nd level (unless in support double situation). For example, 1 - (P) - 1 - (P) - 1NT(15-17) - (P) - P - (2). In such situation, when we know we have some values, I think this double solves many competitive problems and helps us a lot. And with weak NT this is a very common situation. But in auction like 1wNT - (2x) - P - (P) - X we don't know how strong partner is, so we can catch him with flat 5-count and 10xxx of their suit… Indeed, Philip Martin admits in his article that “the approach has its downside”.
Obviously, playing strong NT decreases the probability that this double will lead us to big minus score. But with weak NT I don't feel confident enough about it. That's the reason we don't play it currently, though I'd probably want to.
So my question to Jeff Lehman (or maybe to Philip Martin himself) is how often, from your experience with such double, do you encounter a disaster, playing weak NT? Philip Martin says that the upside is “tremendous”. Not that I'm trying to claim the opposite - I know from other situations that it works, but I'm still fearful.
Oct. 18, 2012
Grigory Vinevich edited this comment Oct. 18, 2012
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First of all, I don't think I need to care about East being 8-2-1-2. With 8 good people bid 4. And I know his are good, with 3 honors at least - if W had 2 (or more) honors, he would probably lead one of them. Anyway, I put him with 7 . This leaves us with 2 patterns for him:
7-3-1-2 and 7-4-1-1 (if he is 7-2-1-3, I'm down anyway).
It's true that if I lead a heart to 8 and 9 and East returns a heart, I must decide what to do. Probably I'll rise with the A (since my table feel tells me things like “West didn't start with a doubleton honor” not too often :-). If W drops a honor, I can draw trump and get a full count. If he follows small, I'm still making when hearts are 3-3.
But there are many other things that can happen: maybe East will win the first heart with a honor, or West will win and return a . I can hope for some defensive error here, while in original line almost nothing depends on the oppponents…
Sept. 6, 2012
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Interesting article. But I think it's wrong to say that if East is 7-4-1-1 I need him to hold specifically J. IMHO, it can be made no matter which East holds - as long as I can guess distribution.
I play 3 from my hand. Suppose West hops with J or Q. What is his return? gives ruff and sluff, finesses his partner, allows me to develop the suit. If he returns a trump, I run 10 intending to repeat the finesse if East covers. This will lose if West has QJx in so as I said I have to guess.
If West follows small, I play 8 (catering for 9x).If E wins with J or Q, I take a trump return in dummy and play 10 hoping that West was 9x or 9xx.
If E wins first with 9, I still can play 10 from dummy. Now, when E follows small, I must guess whether to take the A (winning when W has Hx or Hxx), or to let it run playing E for QJ9x.
So double-dummy I'll make it… Single-dummy - well, it depends on my table feeling and how strong my opponents are.
Sept. 6, 2012
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