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All comments by Kevin Rosenberg
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oh you had a splinter in support of diamonds?
Sept. 5, 2019
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And I assume you were correct?
Sept. 5, 2019
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if you want a magic hand, it's definitely Axx xxxx Axxx Jx.

But still, you can assign 3 useful cards (KS, AH, AD), too much for S to even hold to bid 4d, and still have slam be poor, is a sign that N should be out of slam tries over 4d.

Probably South should have bid 5C anyway. But remember from their POV their shape is excellent. Their 6D bid is at least reasonable.
Sept. 3, 2019
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You need a 7th trick and a heart may get ducked now. Whichever heart you choose to play, I'm surprised that most people prefer an immediate AD.
Sept. 2, 2019
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At this vul you don't even have to worry really about doubling here with a void. It's a good thing, as you expect partner to act.
Aug. 19, 2019
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Double, passing 4s, and correcting 3s to 3n
Aug. 18, 2019
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Well if you play (1n) 2H as both majors, I don't see how that isn't also a natural heart bid suggesting a place to play, yet that is surely alertable.

EDIT: this was meant to be a reply to Ian above.
Aug. 18, 2019
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if 3H was somehow below 3D, you'd have a good argument for 3C being natural, but I still wouldn't bid it without discussion.
Aug. 16, 2019
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My line is wrong, kit is correct below…
Aug. 15, 2019
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Another round of trump seems right. This way if trumps are 22 I can pick up 5 diamonds with east by playing kd next
Aug. 15, 2019
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I'm afraid 2d is just too likely to lose spades, either for you, or even for the opponents. With both majors breaking badly, I'm not so eager for them to find 3n with some 8 card fit. Here the 2d bid sort of worked because it makes it more likely the opponents reach the game.

At least with qx club, I will likely make my QC against 3n if I've overcalled 2d, so that is a benefit. With xx club, I really dislike 2d
Aug. 13, 2019
Kevin Rosenberg edited this comment Aug. 13, 2019
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A little too unilateral to bid imo, but passing with so much offense and the shortness seems wrong. I tend to trust them when vulnerable, so hopefully partner will be straining to bid (though I fear them making a losing pass with 2542)

5h is probably practical as well, it may be hard to double you when it's wrong, and it is imps
Aug. 8, 2019
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If east even had kx spade you'd have to take the spade finesse right away in the ending, else they could pitch their heart when you ruff a diamond. For that reason, the one suit squeeze element doesn't really matter.
Aug. 7, 2019
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I responded 1S, not a negative double
Aug. 3, 2019
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even if you think slow doesn't suggest bidding in general, which it almost always does imo, we pretty much KNOW that the bid never would have occurred without the BIT.

Further, I'm fairly confident that if you do an analysis of hands after a slow 4S, vs. after a normal tempo 4S, a far greater percentage of hands will produce a good slam after the slow 4S. Therefore the BIT seems to make bidding more attractive.
Aug. 2, 2019
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what's important is we can be fairly confident that this person bid BECAUSE of the BIT. I do personally think this BIT suggests bidding (as the first comment says, "slow shows extras "), but even if we don't know why, imo the rules should be layed out such that if we strongly suspect that a person made a weird winning bid because of UI, then it shouldn't be allowed, even if we aren't fully convinced that the UI theoretically indicated the bid.
Aug. 2, 2019
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I don't disagree with the philosophy, but I think on this hand 4s shouldnlikely not make even on the heart lead, if the defense just reverts to trump at further opportunities.
July 25, 2019
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in real life I don't really think 4s would get doubled on any non-competitive auctions, but I think it's clear, as some others have argued above, that this is NOT simply a case of W having misbid and E having correctly explained their agreement. I'm wary of those cases in general, and especially here, as E's 2s bid indicates a hedge. So unless they have explicit written proof that this was their agreement, I would let N bid 2H because of the MI, and the end result imo should be at least +420, if not +500 for 4S being bid in some competitive auction.

Further, W cannot pass 2s on the actual auction because of the UI, as many others have also said above.
July 15, 2019
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if you give partner AQJxxx xxxx xx x, seems like game is quite desirable. Almost whatever 2S means, raising is not only a logical alternative, but also the correct action imo.
July 15, 2019
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the interesting part is we probably get hands with 9 cards the same (and even same shape) fairly often, but when it's an unusual shape, and all the high cards the same, that's when we notice.

the math unfortunately, is the same whether or not it's all the high cards that are the same
July 12, 2019
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