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If you are given a suit combination in a vacuum, you should assume that there are unlimited entries to either hand and all other suits and bidding are irrelevant, or they would have been offered. One where you DO need an entry is the error inducing play of J from J9xxx. in dummy with AK8xx in hand. You don't intend to pass it, but many will cover wrongly from QTx even when you've shown length in this trump suit.
June 11, 2016
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I have led from Qx and Qxx trumps when indicated, with a high degree of success. Do not be discouraged.
June 11, 2016
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dont we need to see entire hand to opine on lines of play. We are all familiar with sometimes need for ruffing high and trump elopements (en passant as in chess).
June 10, 2016
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Partner is not supposed to be doubling at 2 level with 6 HCP, so 2S=12-14, 3S=14+ to 16+ and 4S= 17-18/19. With a slammish hand for spades, you can cuebid first. Om first denies 4S and pulling 3NT to 4S is desire to play 4-3 instead of 3NT. IMHO
June 10, 2016
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Postscript: the reason diamonds first is better is that if you play AK clubs first, fail to see Q or T drop and switch to diamonds, you will fail when dismonds are unfavorable and clubs were Txx/Qxx or QTxx onside, about 32% in total
June 10, 2016
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I'm pretty decent at math and odds, and I would peg it at about 90% for the suggested line. Diamond ace will drop an honor 1/2 of 3-1s and 1/3 or 2-2s, for about 38.3% very close to the 3/8 suggested. The club play will only lose for QTxx offside (9.6%) plus QTxxx offside (about 5%) plus Qtxxxx offside (1%) so total over 84% by itself. When you add in 3/8 of remaining ~16% you get 90%.
June 10, 2016
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congrats to both of you. When I sent this to Edgar Kaplan of Bridge World in the early 90s he confirmed that this was the optimal line, although others are very close. My late bridge partner and close personal friend, Paul Quodomine (1949-2013) found the correct line at the table.
June 10, 2016
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For me “admire” would be a euphemism.
June 10, 2016
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Richard: I hope you've discussed an opening 4NT with your regular partner. Is it possible that a less than regular partner MIGHT think you have 28-29 balanced and Pass? I think this is more likely at the club than partner having the missing two aces. Put me down for 7D, which is where you'll wind up 80% of time anyway.
June 10, 2016
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I think you should be able to pass with a real dog (say 0-4hcp) and say 3 in partner's minor and shortness in his major. This might miss a minor game when partner has a monster, but much more likely is that you are high enough.
June 10, 2016
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Most club players would never lead from trump queen, even if auction would indicate. So player strength is involved.
June 10, 2016
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That might lean one more to the finesse line.—which I'm now convinced is superior anyway.
June 10, 2016
Leonard Helfgott edited this comment June 10, 2016
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I stand corrected. from the discussion here I see that the finesse is the superior line.
June 10, 2016
Leonard Helfgott edited this comment June 10, 2016
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Mr. Rigal's last comment is very much on point. A 1H rebid is much less likely to have only 3H than a 1S bid is to have 3S. Possible? Yes. Likely, no. Another case: If your partner doubled 1C you might bid 1D or even 1H with only 3 in a pinch, but skipping both reds to bid 1S would rarely be made on only 3S.
June 10, 2016
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Yes. Sounds like a good and simple plan
June 10, 2016
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One added point. If you are ALREADY perched at that precarious 2NT level, e.g. having opened 2NT, the IMP odds change to only 33% red and 40% white, as you lose only 3 or 2 imps respectively when 7 tricks are available. For a more detailed discussion see Thomas Andrew's excellent Fantasia website which explores this issue in incredible detail. I do not agree that one should ‘never’ invite with 9hcp, but I do agree that if you cannot combine the invite with either a transfer (5CM) or Stayman, the invite range should be substantially reduced. A 1994 Bridge World article (can't recall the issue) discusses this at length and does suggest that you give up very little to pure theory by either simply passing or bashing.
June 10, 2016
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On the surface it would sound like just diamonds, but partner could have jumped in diamonds with that. Also, I completely abhor doubling hearts with spade shortage, so partner likely has 3 spades, maybe Doubletons honor. Yet he did pull 4S tobid 5D. I'm still on the fence as to pass 5D with QX or go back to spades—with a 5H interpose.
June 10, 2016
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Yes. An excellent simulation and summary. Thanks. I have often used the power of tens, little recognized by the average club player, to upgrade hands. I would still pass with this hand, but with a more balanced 14 count, like 3325, I would likely upgrade to a 15-17 1NT call.
June 10, 2016
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that is a bit simplistic. A ten supported by two higher honors in a four card suit Is a good plus, in a five card suit even more. If supported by only one higher honor, a smaller plus. Every hsnd is different. The Kaplan-Rubens hand evaluator provides some guidance. I would pass or rebid 2C with actual hand, realizing that if partner had a well fitting maximal hand game might be missed. For that reason 2C at teams might be superior. If Partner has a max with 4 clubs he can raise to 3 clubs and you can perhaps now try 3 NT with more confidence. There is also partners style. Some won't bid 1Nt with 3352, some will bid 2C inverted with 4 clubs and 10 HCP.
June 10, 2016
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A986 not A987
June 9, 2016
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