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All comments by Ralph F. Lind
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P.M.Jr. - Done.

I recall reading an article by Mike Lawrence about the range for a 1NT response by partner in this particular situation. Sometime in the last few years. Might've been in the ACBL Bulletin.

As I remember, Mike advocated a ~ 4-10 1NT response. Perhaps someone else remembers seeing it?

As it has bearing on this auction, it might be of interest to run a range poll.

~ 8-10
~ 7-10
~ 6-10
~ 5-10
~ 4-10
~ 3-10

Thank you for your attention.
9 hours ago
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Excusez-moi… showing a void with exclusion responses
12 hours ago
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Who has the Ace?

I would try 4 EKC.
17 hours ago
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C.Za - “”Pass“ puts a lot of pressure on partner who will then not know we have a fit…”

Agree… but does an immediate 4 call gain or lose probabilistic advantage?
17 hours ago
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Sarik - What does The Law tell you to do?
June 24
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- deleted, wrong post
June 24
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“How does the Law help you in the play of 3♣ doubled when dummy hits with a 4=3=4=2 shape (17 total trumps) and no entry but sufficient defence to hold spades to 7 tricks, for example Q10xx xxx J10xx xx?”

Only a singleton K helps. Probability 12.5%
June 10
Ralph F. Lind edited this comment June 10
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Trump estimate

East 4 s
West 4-5 s
North 7 s
South 1-3 s

Estimated total trumps 16-19

THE LAW using the lowest guess of 16 total trumps…

if 2 is making 8 tricks (-110) then 2 is also making 8 tricks (+90) and 3 will be down a trick (-100). THE LAW says you must bid 3 in this situation.

if 2 is making 7 tricks (+50) then 2 is making 9 tricks (+110) and 3 will also be (+110). THE LAW says you must bid 3 in this situation.

THE LAW using Kieran's estimate of 17 total trumps…

if 2 is making 8 tricks (-110) then 2 is making 9 tricks (+110) and 3 will also be (+110). THE LAW says you must bid 3 in this situation.

if 2 is making 7 tricks (+50) then 2 is making 10 tricks (+130) and 3 will also be (+130). THE LAW says you must bid 3 in this situation.
June 9
Ralph F. Lind edited this comment June 9
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R.F. - “how is anyone supposed to know how many total trumps there are here?”

Use an estimated number, not a for sure number.
June 9
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Since the 876 were bookended and the odds were 2:1 against the K10 being doubleton, Zia shoulda pushed the 5, a humble Lullaby card.
June 9
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Y.T. - What does the Law tell you to do?
June 9
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The reason you bid 5NT pick-a-slam (over 4) is to find out if partner likes his s well enough to suggest playing in 6.

If that is the case, you are going to take a shot at a big cross-IMP swing and bid 7.

You did it this way because (in a contract) the hand does not require opener to have second round control. All it needs is for h/she to take a ruff in dummy.
June 5
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L.H. - I agree, its for a lead.

Richard brings up conflicting indications.

This calls into question West's Redouble. Is it “strength” or is it “just kidding”? The only clue is partner pulling to 4.
June 2
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C.Za. - this hand reminds me of another fine Pacific N.W. player, the late Bob Hitchens. Without fail, Hitchens always jumped to Game in this situation. Today… I'll follow suit.
June 1
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L.H. - how did you read West's double of 3NT?
June 1
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“Do you trust the opponents to have 9 ♠s between them and your partner to have shortness?”

No!

“do you just bash 7, or something else/ what?”

No! … this is the right question, Don.

You want to make a bid which will lead you to guess if there's a good probability of finding a parking place for those 2 small s.
May 30
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Win the J, Ace, and K.

Cross ruff until they ruff in with Ace, J or 7.

ruff the 9 with the 5.
lead 3 up to the Ace, then ruff the 5 with the 6.

If all that worked, we have 6 tricks. And we still have 5 of the top 7 trump together with the Ace.

Continue to cross ruff until they ruff in with Ace or J.

lead the 2 and ruff it with the 8, then ruff the 7 with the 10.

etc …
May 22
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I'd be curious as to how people think West should bid their hand.

4NT was fine as long as it's forcing.
May 22
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Any balanced hand with 19 HCP containing 4 Aces should open 2NT when playing for stakes.

https://bridgewinners.com/article/view/bidding-problem-2-w3qm75l8kp/?cj=705088#c705088
May 10
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“Why would partner bid this way?”

No entry for a Notrump Slam. He/she expects you to correct to 6NT or 7NT with a stiff club.
May 8
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