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All comments by Stefan Ralescu
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Following your line, if diamonds are 1-6, after East wins trick 3, West ruffs the diamond continuation and leads the 10 of hearts, covered by the queen, king and ?

Guessing or no guessing?
Oct. 30, 2015
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No, I've already noted yesterday that the contract is safe as long as West has the 10-8 (or J-8) of hearts.
Oct. 30, 2015
Stefan Ralescu edited this comment Oct. 30, 2015
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OK, the earlier comments already covered the case when hearts are 3-3. The question was what do you do when hearts are not 3-3.
Oct. 30, 2015
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Say you duck a diamond and another diamond comes back. You win and play a heart to the 9 and 10 (say). East cashes a diamond and meanly continues diamonds. You have lost 3 tricks. How do you take the rest?
Oct. 30, 2015
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Since spades are 2-2, West must have10-8 of hearts?
Oct. 29, 2015
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“Declarer's line of play doesn't make any sense if he has A9x of hearts. Surely he would have at least tried the diamonds first. The ace of diamonds doesn't figure to be onside, but it could be.”

Declarer’s play at the table is surely suspect. However, a declarer with strong card-reading skills and a 1=3=1=8 hand distribution with A-9-x of hearts might not lead a diamond at trick two. Instead he could decide to draw trumps ending in dummy and ruff the king of spades. By following this line, South then runs his remaining trumps, coming down to a four-card ending (where dummy keeps J-7 of hearts and K-9 of diamonds), and East comes under unbearable pressure. If he bares the ace of diamonds, he is thrown in with a diamond to break the heart suit. If, instead, East keeps only two hearts, he is endplayed with a heart.
Oct. 24, 2015
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Francois, you don’t need to justify yourself.

Leading the 3 (3rd/5th) from AQx32? That IS really nonsense.
Oct. 4, 2015
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There was no suggestion that South should play West for J-10-x of spades. That remark was triggered by quite a few erroneous assertions (“So it is a 100% to go up with the K at trick 1”, “Even if the jack of diamonds holds you only have eight tricks and will need to finesse in clubs”, “This one is a nobrainer for the DK. JD is just nonsense”). As noted, the best play here is DK, hearts, followed by the club finesse.
Oct. 4, 2015
Stefan Ralescu edited this comment Oct. 4, 2015
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What’s going on with these “definitive” statements about the diamond play at trick 1?

Are you all saying that there is a zero chance to find West with J-10-x of spades?
Oct. 4, 2015
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This looks about right, except that if declarer suspects that RHO guards the diamonds, he should squeeze him on the assumption that he also holds the Q-J of hearts.
Sept. 19, 2015
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I don’t think I want to follow plan A if West shows out at trick 2. Instead, I’ll take the club finesse and succeed when the queen is onside (and clubs are behaving), provided I guess West’s red king and East doesn’t have length in that suit. .
Sept. 14, 2015
Stefan Ralescu edited this comment Sept. 14, 2015
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No, not necessarily. Plus, the bidding here is certainly not “normal”.
Sept. 14, 2015
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There is an extra chance. Win trick 1 with the ace and play the spade 9 to the king. If West started with J-10 doubleton of spades, finesse the club jack next, making when the clubs behave and the queen is onside. When the club finesse loses and a spade is returned, it is vital to guess the location of the red kings.
Sept. 14, 2015
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You might have considered cashing the ace of clubs before leading a spade to dummy’s king. On the actual hand it doesn’t matter, but if East is 5=5=2=1, the extraction of East’s safe-exit card is needed before giving him the lead.
Sept. 13, 2015
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Right, but look again at MR’s comment regarding the spade play and the shapes.

If East’s hand is Qx/xxx/Axx/Qxxxx and he elects not to cover the spade jack, you are in trouble when West wins the 1st diamond and continues hearts.

On the suggested line, if East ducks the nine of diamonds, you could cross to dummy on the jack of spades, ruff dummy’s low diamond and lead the king of clubs. The defense can’t take more than two tricks and you are OK. Exactly the same play works if East has Qx/xxxx/Axx/Qxxx.
Sept. 5, 2015
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This is mainly in the spirit of my earlier comment (to which I saw no reaction), so here is a question for you:

Have you considered the possibility of East having the trump queen doubleton?

If West is 3=3=4=3 (say) with pretty much the same hand (rather than 2=4=4=3 as in the actual layout), running the spade jack at trick two is not good enough, because after crossing to hand on a high trump to lead the diamond five, West could win with the king and return a heart. There is no squeeze in that case. You could however succeed legitimately if you guess the shapes. Lead a trump to the ten at trick 2 followed by a diamond. If West plays low, finesse the ten and proceed with the squeeze on LHO. Alternatively, if West takes the king and plays another heart, repeat the finesse, cash the heart ace (perhaps an unnatural move, but necessary here), cross to the spade ace and run the nine of diamonds. It looks a bit scary when East wins with the ace and leads the 13th heart, but you ruff in dummy after pitching a club from hand and the defense can’t score more than another trick no matter how they turn.
The same remark (re the early trump play) applies to the case when West is 3=4=4=2 with the A-10 of clubs.
Sept. 5, 2015
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How about if West rises with the diamond king to lead a second heart? I don’t think you can make it in that case. Not to mention the fact that if East has Q-10 of clubs and West the club ace, the defense can play clubs to set you.
Sept. 4, 2015
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Is there any reason for allowing such distasteful comments (re Fredin) on bridgewinners?
Aug. 28, 2015
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Kit, you may not be aware of it but Greg Lawler is one of the most distinguished mathematicians specializing in probability theory. If I were you, I would be more than happy to have him in my corner for such a difficult investigation.
Aug. 27, 2015
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“Outing” cheaters on Bridge Winners by name, or providing enough information that anyone could easily figure out whom you're talking about with a simple Google Search, is the quickest way to (at a minimum) a vacation from Bridge Winners.

http://bridgewinners.com/pages/community-guidelines/

Really?
How about this comment made by Mike Passell earlier on Bridge Winners:

“8 years ago in Verona we played a pair of Israeli brothers we had been told to beware of by their own countryman I was once again playing with Eddie Wold They played takeout dbls at every situation Near the end they opened 1cl at vul vs not I overcalled 4 hearts p p dbl p the next hand had qxxx —- Qxxx Jxxxx the coughing began louder and louder and he finally passed winning the match his partner had 3433 19 count I went for 500 they were going for a huge number if they bid in committee they claimed he forgot their system and made a bad bid we were told we had to make a formal charge of cheating to have a chance our captain convinced Carolyn Lynch we shouldn't cause an incident and we foolishly didn't persue.I have had a bad taste in my mouth for 8 years over that one
April 7, 2014”
Aug. 17, 2015
.

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