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West
AJ654
AK107
3
J105
North
10
53
AK1065
KQ983
East
KQ2
QJ86
Q972
76
South
9873
942
J84
A42
W
N
E
S
P
P
1
2NT
3
P
P
P
D
3 West
NS: 0 EW: 0

Defended this as north, Matchpoints scoring, reluctant to describe the field as very poor but it was an online individual, hence you have 30 seconds per decision...

You start well with the A but then what? ...

 

West
AJ654
AK107
3
J105
North
10
53
AK1065
KQ983
East
KQ2
QJ86
Q972
76
South
9873
942
J84
A42
W
N
E
S
P
P
1
2NT
3
P
P
P
D
3 West
NS: 0 EW: 0

...with some idea that I needed to set up a trick if partner had A I switched to k. An easy 10 tricks for declarer.

The trump switch leads to an interesting force in . A low switch I think is unfeasible, even if it would almost certainly work as declarer would play 2 rounds of trumps. Even though P needs A for the force defence I think it's too much of a risk.

Annoyingly I think the trump switch is easily findable, even in 30 seconds. My plan was to hold it to +1. The danger of +2 if I don't switch to a ? None.

The chance of a trump trick for p if I switch? Partner needs 4 trumps and A

I looked through the travellers afterwards. 4 pairs out of 25 only made 9 ticks, except that none of the defences found the trump switch.

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